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[NL2-NL10] JJ against sqeeze

    • mlatasrb
      Joined: 01.04.2012 Posts: 2,730
      PartyGaming - $0.10 NL (6 max) FAST - Holdem - 6 players
      Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

      BTN: 112.5 BB
      SB: 102.4 BB
      BB: 107 BB
      Hero (UTG): 118.5 BB
      MP: 52.8 BB
      CO: 27 BB

      SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

      Pre Flop: (pot: $0.15) Hero has J:club: J:spade:

      Hero raises to 3 BB, fold, fold, BTN calls 3 BB, SB raises to 15 BB, fold, Hero calls 12 BB, BTN calls 12 BB

      Flop: ($4.60, 3 players) T:club: J:diamond: 9:heart:
      SB checks, Hero bets 21.8 BB, BTN calls 21.8 BB, SB calls 21.8 BB

      Turn: ($11.14, 3 players) 9:club:
      SB checks, Hero bets 34 BB, BTN calls 34 BB, SB calls 34 BB

      River: ($21.34, 3 players) 4:heart:
      SB checks, Hero bets 39 BB, fold, SB calls 31.6 BB and is all-in

      Villian sqeeze 9%, 1.7K hands. VPiP 22, so I think he is reg.
      Is it better push preflop, or call? With push I win the pot directly, but he calls with better. So when he folds I win 2.2 $ and risk 10$. I expect him to call with QQ+ and AK.
      If I call he cbets flop 70%, turn and river 50%. So what is better preflop?

      I bet 50% flop because I expect SB to push with QQ+ or even AK, and I think BU has more often TT, 99, 88, maybe JTs than KQ.
      They both call, so I guess they might be both on a draw, and turn is the best card for me. I bet so small turn because they would fold with draw if I go all in, and we have river to go all in where they are pot commited, and maybe they complete draws.
      Is it ok?
  • 1 reply
    • BogdanPS
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Hi mlatasrb,

      Preflop: why push? We can 4-bet like 30 BB and then call a shove.

      Against QQ+, AK we have 36% equity and after the above 4-bet we'd need about 34% odds to call.

      A lot of the profit comes from him folding preflop and when he shoves, in the worst case scenario, we are break even. However he may spew and shove a wider range because of our 4-bet.

      As played it looks good (once PFR checks). Well played.