[NL2-NL10] sb AA, tricky line

    • Imimba1
      Imimba1
      Bronze
      Joined: 12.12.2011 Posts: 2,897
      Poker Stars $5.00 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players - View hand 2037478
      DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

      Hero (SB): $6.48 - VPIP: 21, PFR: 16, 3B: 4, AF: 2,0, Hands: 71621
      BB: $5.16 - VPIP: 20, PFR: 14, 3B: 10, AF: 5,0, Hands: 49
      UTG: $5.40 - VPIP: 24, PFR: 16, 3B: 2, AF: 2,0, Hands: 132
      MP: $3.83 - VPIP: 17, PFR: 0, 3B: 0, AF: 1,5, Hands: 29
      CO: $5.39 - VPIP: 21, PFR: 15, 3B: 0, AF: 5,7, Hands: 140 CO open: 9/20; from his POV I have 3% 3b range; CB flop:90%
      BTN: $8.63 - VPIP: 34, PFR: 2, 3B: 1, AF: 1,3, Hands: 645

      Pre Flop: ($0.07) Hero is SB with A :heart: A :club:
      2 folds, CO raises to $0.15, 1 fold, Hero calls $0.13, BB calls $0.10
      1)Both CO and BB are decent players. I'd 3bet here with A2, K2 to make them fold, but AA is just too strong to collect the blinds. They are going to fold almost ALWAYS if I 3bet, hence I have to call to maximize value.

      Flop: ($0.45) Q :heart: 7 :heart: T :club: (3 players)
      Hero checks, BB bets $0.25, CO calls $0.25, Hero raises to $1.04, BB calls $0.79, CO folds

      Turn: ($2.78) 2 :club: (2 players)
      Hero bets $1.80, BB folds
  • 3 replies
    • BogdanPS
      BogdanPS
      Basic
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Hi Imimba,

      Preflop: I doubt you are maximizing value by calling here. You maximize value by 3-betting and stacking off all his AK, QQ+ hands.

      The only reason I'd call here is if BB is a huge squeezer or CO is a spew monkey postflop but if he was he may be a spew monkey postflop in a 3-bet pot.

      As played we need to ck/raise the flop and the size is fine. Turn bet is fine as well.
    • Imimba1
      Imimba1
      Bronze
      Joined: 12.12.2011 Posts: 2,897
      Originally posted by BogdanPS
      Hi Imimba,

      Preflop: I doubt you are maximizing value by calling here. You maximize value by 3-betting and stacking off all his AK, QQ+ hands.

      The only reason I'd call here is if BB is a huge squeezer or CO is a spew monkey postflop but if he was he may be a spew monkey postflop in a 3-bet pot.

      As played we need to ck/raise the flop and the size is fine. Turn bet is fine as well.
      Those are only 2,5% range, and CO opens ~40% from the CO. So 2,5/40=6,25% of his range is premium here
      My problem is, that I probably isolate myself against that 6,25%, and fold the rest if I 3bet. I'd have to make more money from that 6,25% range, than the rest 37,5%. (VS KK-QQ I probably go broke postflop anyways, so no problem there.)

      with a 3bet/broke, I win 6,25%*full stack=0.3125$ on avarage

      with a call, and just catching a CB, I win at least 0.31$, because villain is aggro and Cbets nearly always. And we have 2 more streets, and can do more action after his origional CB, so this could escalate pretty big
    • BogdanPS
      BogdanPS
      Basic
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Originally posted by Imimba1
      Originally posted by BogdanPS
      Hi Imimba,

      Preflop: I doubt you are maximizing value by calling here. You maximize value by 3-betting and stacking off all his AK, QQ+ hands.

      The only reason I'd call here is if BB is a huge squeezer or CO is a spew monkey postflop but if he was he may be a spew monkey postflop in a 3-bet pot.

      As played we need to ck/raise the flop and the size is fine. Turn bet is fine as well.
      Those are only 2,5% range, and CO opens ~40% from the CO. So 2,5/40=6,25% of his range is premium here
      My problem is, that I probably isolate myself against that 6,25%, and fold the rest if I 3bet. I'd have to make more money from that 6,25% range, than the rest 37,5%. (VS KK-QQ I probably go broke postflop anyways, so no problem there.)

      with a 3bet/broke, I win 6,25%*full stack=0.3125$ on avarage

      with a call, and just catching a CB, I win at least 0.31$, because villain is aggro and Cbets nearly always. And we have 2 more streets, and can do more action after his origional CB, so this could escalate pretty big
      First, that sample is too small to assume that he opens 40% from the CO and then assume that he only continues with 2.5% of his range.

      What about his calling range when calls our 3-bet?