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[NL20-NL50] TT overpair against pot donk

    • Gonchan
      Joined: 14.06.2011 Posts: 2,877
      Party, $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 7 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      MP1: $53.74 (107.5 bb)
      MP2: $25.57 (51.1 bb)
      Hero (CO): $50 (100 bb)
      SB: $50 (100 bb)
      MP3: $63.54 (127.1 bb)
      BB: $49.99 (100 bb)
      BTN: $122.04 (244.1 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is CO with T T
      2 folds, MP3 calls $0.50, Hero raises to $2, 2 folds, BB calls $1.50, MP3 calls $1.50

      Flop: ($6.25) 2 6 3 (3 players)
      BB checks, MP3 bets $5.94, Hero raises to $14, BB folds, MP3 raises to $61.54 and is all-in, Hero calls $34 and is all-in

      Turn: ($102.25) 2 (2 players, 2 are all-in)
      River: ($102.25) K (2 players, 2 are all-in)

      $102.25 pot ($3 rake)
      Final Board: 2 6 3 2 K
      Hero showed T T and lost (-$50 net)
      MP3 showed 2 2 and won $99.25 ($49.25 net)
      BB mucked and lost (-$2 net)

      27/12/26 donk 100(3)

      He did pot donk before this.

      On this spot, TT without s is not good to shove?
  • 2 replies
    • BogdanPS
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Hi Gonchan,

      Preflop: looks fine

      Flop: Did we see what he pot donked before with?

      With BB still left to act and considering how the board is I'm not too thrilled to get my money in there.

      Even a hand like 77s has quite a bit of equity versus us and villain can have plenty of sets and flushes (he limped).

      So I think that this hand is marginal at best and I would just muck the flop, as "nitty" as that may seem.

      As an exercise, if you have time, equilab this scenario and play with villains range to see how poor our equity is.

      I would start from a best case scenario (or worst case scenario) and work my way from there.
    • Gonchan
      Joined: 14.06.2011 Posts: 2,877
      ボード: 6s3s2s
      エクイティ 勝ち 引分
      MP2 32.90% 31.93% 0.97% { TdTc }
      CO 67.10% 66.13% 0.97% { 66, 33-22, 54s, AsTs, As9s, As8s, As7s, As5s, As4s, AsTd, AsTh, AsTc, As9d, As9h, As9c, As8d, As8h, As8c, Ad7s, Ah7s, As7d, As7h, As7c, Ac7s, Ad6s, Ah6s, As6d, As6h, As6c, Ac6s, As5d, As5h, As5c, As4d, As4h, As4c, As3d, As3h, As3c, As2d, As2h, As2c }

      even include only Ax FD, I didn't have fine equity.

      And I don't know the hand when he did pot donk before because villain mucked his hand.

      If against this equity, should I only fold?