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[NL20-NL50] SH20 - Defend vs Sqz (2)

    • chocular77
      Joined: 15.06.2010 Posts: 1,102
      SB: 47/16


      $0.10/$0.20 No Limit Holdem
      4 Players
      Hand Conversion Powered by

      CO ($10.90) 55bb
      cincinkid (BTN) ($20) 100bb
      SB ($19.05) 95bb
      BB ($20) 100bb

      Pre-Flop: ($0.30, 4 players) cincinkid is BTN T 9
      1 fold, cincinkid raises to $0.60, SB calls $0.50, BB raises to $2.60, cincinkid raises to $5.60, SB folds, BB goes all-in $20, cincinkid folds

      Just saw his huge sqz stat and i gave myself a lot of foldequity.
      But afterwards i think i shouldn't 4B because BB range should be a little bit stronger since SB is likely to call maybe a 3B and my hand is not the best for a squeeze.

      Is the size fine or are there reasons why i should make it smaller/bigger?

      Final Pot: $26

      BB wins $26.20 (net +$6.20)

      cincinkid lost $5.60
      SB lost $0.70
  • 1 reply
    • BogdanPS
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Hi Chocular,

      Preflop: I would fold to the 3-bet here for a few reasons:

      A) Sample size for squeeze is small. It's only over 21 hands and 14% means 3 hands (of the 21) and chances are one of them is this one so at the time you probably had 10% (20).

      B) 4-bet bluff has to work a high amount of the time and our hand doesn't have any blockers. The bluff has to work roughly 60% of the time. And I don't think villain can fold 6 out 10 hands here.

      If BB is a good player though he should 3-bet a wider range here (for value and rarely as a bluff) to isolate the SB all for himself.

      For example in a spot like this I may squeeze AJ+, KQs, TT+ to try and isolate SB (and rarely bluff). Now some of these hands I may actually fold to a 4-bet from the BTN, depending on our dynamic/history.