[NL2-NL10] NL5 - Turn Semi Bluff

    • Philfox1985
      Joined: 18.12.2010 Posts: 934
      My thinking on this hand at the time was that he could have a hand that would struggle to call a turn shove. Given the action, I thought his most likely range was a PP 2's - J's, maybe a pair of kings.

      The idea was that he would fold enough of the time to make the play profitable, given the equity I have, I'm guessing he has to fold around 40% of the time for me to break even?

      Looking back at the hand, I feel like I could have checked it back on the turn, seems like the most profitable play as I can put more money in on the river if I hit my draw. Do you agree - was that the better play?

      Poker Stars, $0.02/$0.05 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      BTN: $23.61 (472.2 bb)
      SB: $2.45 (49 bb)
      BB: $7.40 (148 bb)
      Hero (UTG): $8.68 (173.6 bb)
      MP: $5.61 (112.2 bb)
      CO: $3.15 (63 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is UTG with J T
      Hero raises to $0.15, 3 folds, SB raises to $0.30, BB folds, Hero calls $0.15

      Flop: ($0.65) 4 K 7 (2 players)
      SB checks, Hero bets $0.40, SB calls $0.40

      Turn: ($1.45) 6 (2 players)
      SB checks, Hero bets $1.75, SB calls $1.75 and is all-in

      River: ($4.95) 8 (2 players, 1 is all-in)

      $4.95 pot ($0.21 rake)
      Final Board: 4 K 7 6 8
      SB showed 7 7 and won $4.74 ($2.29 net)
      Hero mucked J T and lost (-$2.45 net)
  • 2 replies
    • BogdanPS
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Hi Philfox,

      Preflop: Looks fine. We can't really 4-bet and even though he is a bit short we are getting a decent price for the call.

      Postflop: Considering how the action went on the flop I would take a free card on the turn.

      I can't see what the villain can fold on the turn that's better than ours and there aren't many worse hands calling (maybe 89cc).
    • Philfox1985
      Joined: 18.12.2010 Posts: 934
      Would you expect the villian to call the shove with his PP's or the odd random 4x or 7x?