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[NL20-NL50] nl25sh 78s

    • jules97
      jules97
      Bronze
      Joined: 10.06.2012 Posts: 1,449
      3 hands

      PokerStars - $0.25 NL (6 max) ZOOM - Holdem - 6 players
      Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

      BTN: $24.65
      SB: $31.04
      BB: $42.88
      UTG: $56.89
      Hero (MP): $27.47
      CO: $96.79

      SB posts SB $0.10, BB posts BB $0.25

      Pre Flop: (pot: $0.35) Hero has 8:club: 7:club:

      fold, Hero raises to $0.75, CO calls $0.75, fold, fold, fold

      Flop: ($1.85, 2 players) 7:diamond: 7:heart: 9:spade:
      Hero bets $1.25, CO raises to $2.50, Hero raises to $4.10, CO raises to $23.75, Hero raises to $26.72 and is all-in, CO calls $2.97

      Turn: ($55.29, 2 players) A:diamond:

      River: ($55.29, 2 players) 3:diamond:

      Hero shows 8:club: 7:club: (Three of a Kind, Sevens) (Pre 33%, Flop 25%, Turn 0%)
      CO shows 7:spade: A:spade: (Full House, Sevens full of Aces) (Pre 67%, Flop 75%, Turn 100%)
      CO wins $53.29


      So..., how bad is calling his shove? I was kinda hoping for overpairs and also 99.
  • 3 replies
    • BogdanPS
      BogdanPS
      Basic
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Hey Jules,

      Preflop: looks fine even though we are in MP (especially if blinds are fishy).

      Flop: What overpairs can we really expect him to overplay that badly here? People usually don't raise those hands here anyway (TT-JJ).

      Vs unknown I wouldn't assign 76s in his range but he may have A7s.

      Since a lot of people love to bluff flops like this with one raise we can call and let him bet/bluff again. It's not like I'm folding my hand.
    • jules97
      jules97
      Bronze
      Joined: 10.06.2012 Posts: 1,449
      So on this board would you call him down if he kept betting 3/4 pot on turn and river?
    • BogdanPS
      BogdanPS
      Basic
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Originally posted by jules97
      So on this board would you call him down if he kept betting 3/4 pot on turn and river?
      Against unknown yes. He could bluff raise some Ax hands and then bet for value turn/river. We are only afraid of 2 combos of A7s and 3 of 99.

      Alternatively we can shove the turn on him but I don't really want to make Ax fold.