[NL20-NL50] 76s river donk shove

    • Gonchan
      Gonchan
      Bronze
      Joined: 14.06.2011 Posts: 2,867
      Party, $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      BB: $50 (100 bb)
      CO: $99.08 (198.2 bb)
      SB: $70.89 (141.8 bb)
      BTN: $69.02 (138 bb)
      MP: $59.11 (118.2 bb)
      Hero (UTG): $65.10 (130.2 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is UTG with 7 8
      Hero raises to $1.50, MP calls $1.50, 2 folds, SB calls $1.25, BB folds

      Flop: ($5) 3 Q 8 (3 players)
      SB bets $0.50, Hero raises to $4, MP calls $4, SB calls $3.50

      Turn: ($17) 7 (3 players)
      SB bets $4.50, Hero raises to $13, MP folds, SB calls $8.50

      River: ($43) 5 (2 players)
      SB bets $52.39 and is all-in, Hero calls $46.60 and is all-in

      Results:
      $136.20 pot ($3.00 rake)
      Final Board: 3 Q 8 7 5
      SB showed 6 4 and won $133.20 ($68.10 net)
      Hero mucked 7 8 and lost (-$65.10 net)


      32/14/65

      I thought he did it with vast FD.
      However, I overlooked the persentage of bluff.

      What was his river range?
  • 1 reply
    • EmanuelC16
      EmanuelC16
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.01.2010 Posts: 13,897
      78s UTG is standard for you? Might be a bit too loose depending on table conditions.

      As played, flop seems fine to me but on the turn just raise a lot bigger. You don't get stacks in if you raise so small.

      River it gets ugly ofc given his actions. He can have 33, 88, 77, probably Q8, QQ(does he 3bet pre?). I think he could have some busted flushes as well. 69s and 64s is still probably in his range. Given the slight overbet I don't think you have ~35% you need to call here with middle 2. You can probably call 88 or better on this board.


      Board: Q:spade: 3:diamond: 8:diamond:  7:club:  5:heart:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      MP2    28.14%  25.01%   3.13% { 8h7h }
      MP3    71.86%  68.73%   3.13% { QQ, 88-77, 33, Q8s, 87s, Ad9d, Kd9d, Jd9d, Td9d, 9d6d, 6d4d }


      I put in quite a few busted FD combos. I'd say that's an optimistic scenario and it's still a fold.