[NL20-NL50] SH20 - Trips vs Turn minraise

    • chocular77
      Joined: 15.06.2010 Posts: 1,102

      $0.10/$0.20 No Limit Holdem
      6 Players
      Hand Conversion Powered by weaktight.com

      UTG ($90.14) 451bb
      UTG+1 ($21.10) 106bb
      cincinkid (CO) ($25.36) 127bb
      BTN ($36.87) 184bb
      SB ($20) 100bb
      BB ($20) 100bb

      Pre-Flop: ($0.30, 6 players) cincinkid is CO Q J
      2 folds, cincinkid raises to $0.60, BTN calls $0.60, 2 folds

      Flop: 5 Q K ($1.50, 2 players)
      cincinkid bets $1.20, BTN calls $1.20

      Turn: Q ($3.90, 2 players)
      cincinkid bets $3, BTN raises to $6, cincinkid calls $3

      This minraise doesn't protect his hand and the Q is not the best card to raise his flush.
      So he either has a flush or is buffing, i'm not sure if he would raise weaker flushes.
      Decided to c/c him down.

      River: J ($15.90, 2 players)
      cincinkid bets $17.56, BTN folds

      The river give me a hard to spot FH so i tried to get maximum value from his Ax flush.
      Should i bet smaller to also get value from weaker flushes?

      Final Pot: $15.90
  • 2 replies
    • EmanuelC16
      Joined: 02.01.2010 Posts: 13,897
      I'm not in love with the flop cbet but I can't argue against it. It's simply not the best EV if I were to play imo.

      After you cbet and get a call, what's his range there?

      Turn is obviously very good for you, value bet and get a minraise. In this spot I think you are beat reasonably often by the most obvious hand: a flush. You do get odds to outdraw and also you do have the best hand sometimes, though I expect flushes to play this exact way.

      On the river, your FH is not hard to spot at all. QJ is the only hand that makes sense when you play like that. Ofc, vs a nonbeliever or a weak opponent, donking river is OK, flushes still call, AT bluff on turn now calls. However, you will not have anything else apart from QJ in your range here so doing it against even a semi-competent player will probably not be OK. Your sizing is also too big imo because small flushes will have a very tough time calling so you narrow his calling range to A high flushes or better.
    • chocular77
      Joined: 15.06.2010 Posts: 1,102
      Originally posted by EmanuelC16

      After you cbet and get a call, what's his range there?
      mostly Kx and a lot of flushdraws since he cc a lot on the button,
      maybe some pairs like JJ-88

      So yeah he mostly got the flush on the turn.

      I agree that my donk is to obvious and the size too big.
      But what's better? If i check will he valuebet something like 8s7s?