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[NL2-NL10] KQs against river donk push

    • mlatasrb
      Joined: 01.04.2012 Posts: 2,722
      PartyGaming - $0.10 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
      Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

      BTN: 119.7 BB
      SB: 60.7 BB
      BB: 27.7 BB
      UTG: 103.5 BB
      MP: 321.8 BB
      Hero (CO): 130.6 BB

      SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

      Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has Q:club: K:club:

      fold, fold, Hero raises to 3 BB, fold, SB calls 2.5 BB, fold

      Flop: (7 BB, 2 players) 2:heart: 5:diamond: Q:heart:
      SB checks, Hero bets 5 BB, SB calls 5 BB

      Turn: (17 BB, 2 players) T:spade:
      SB checks, Hero bets 11 BB, SB calls 11 BB

      River: (39 BB, 2 players) 8:club:
      SB bets 41.7 BB and is all-in, Hero calls 41.7 BB

      SB shows 5:spade: A:spade: (One Pair, Fives) (Pre 57%, Flop 22%, Turn 11%)
      Hero shows Q:club: K:club: (One Pair, Queens) (Pre 43%, Flop 78%, Turn 89%)
      Hero wins 116.3 BB

      Only 2 hands on villian.
      Is river fold? His play doesnt make sense. He is fish according to his stack size, so it is hard to say if he plays his sets like that. It makes only sense with 88 to push river,
      but he would probably fold turn with 88. Maybe J9, but that he folds on flop probably.
      Very often he can have missed flush or straight draw, so I call.

      It looks like he was value betting his pair on river, I am not sure...
  • 1 reply
    • BogdanPS
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Hi Mlatasrb,

      Preflop: looks fine

      Postflop: despite the result I would say that postflop, without info it's closer to a fold.

      However I think that we can make it such that we have a lot less money left on the river and thus maximize value versus draws/1p hands and have them call a river bet more often because they would have a lot less behind.

      For example, if you bet the turn just 4 BB larger the river pot would be 47 BB with a 37.3 BB stack behind. And if you now bet flop bigger then turn can be even bigger.

      As a side note villain can also have a hand like Q8/T8 on the river besides the others you mentioned.