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[NL20-NL50] NL25sh-KQs isolation vs flop shove

    • urmo1
      urmo1
      Black
      Joined: 02.03.2008 Posts: 718
      Hello
      What is right move on that Flop?
      BB stats - 54/11/0.8 after 36 hands
      First time on that situation vs Short.
      I think i have ca. 36% equity on Flop vs opp range.

      Poker Stars, $0.10/$0.25 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      BTN: $20.36 (81.4 bb)
      SB: $30.01 (120 bb)
      BB: $7.13 (28.5 bb)
      UTG: $32.31 (129.2 bb)
      Hero (MP): $25 (100 bb)
      CO: $29.84 (119.4 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is MP with Q K
      UTG folds, Hero raises to $0.75, 3 folds, BB calls $0.50

      Flop: ($1.60) J J 6 (2 players)
      BB bets $6.38 and is all-in, Hero ?
  • 1 reply
    • EmanuelC16
      EmanuelC16
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.01.2010 Posts: 13,909
      On non-paired board I would actually snap call. Then again, how often does he play Jx like this?

      You are beat by NFD but I think unless you can include many Jx in his range you have a call.

      This is just a rough estimate:


      Board: J:spade: J:heart: 6:heart:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      MP2    44.07%  43.84%   0.23% { KhQh }
      MP3    55.93%  55.70%   0.23% { TT-77, AJs, KJs, QJs, J8s+, 76s, 65s, AhTh, Ah9h, Th9h, Ah8h, Th8h, 9h8h, Ah7h, Th7h, 9h7h, 8h7h, Ah6h, Ah5h, Th5h, 7h5h, Ah4h, 7h4h, Ah3h, Ah2h, AJo, A6o, KJo, QJo }