[NL2-NL10] AJ against raise

    • mlatasrb
      Joined: 01.04.2012 Posts: 2,722
      PartyGaming - $0.10 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
      Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

      BTN: 515.6 BB
      SB: 117.9 BB
      BB: 126.8 BB
      Hero (UTG): 513.8 BB
      MP: 100 BB
      CO: 235.3 BB

      SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

      Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has J:diamond: A:heart:

      Hero raises to 3 BB, MP calls 3 BB, fold, fold, fold, BB calls 2 BB

      Flop: (9.5 BB, 3 players) 3:heart: A:diamond: 4:heart:
      BB bets 4.5 BB, Hero calls 4.5 BB, MP raises to 20.3 BB, fold, Hero calls 15.8 BB

      Turn: (54.6 BB, 2 players) 8:club:
      Hero checks, MP bets 38.9 BB, Hero raises to 77.8 BB, MP calls 37.8 BB and is all-in

      River: (208 BB, 2 players) 4:diamond:

      Hero shows J:diamond: A:heart: (Two Pair, Aces and Fours) (Pre 26%, Flop 18%, Turn 7%)
      MP shows A:club: Q:spade: (Two Pair, Aces and Fours) (Pre 74%, Flop 82%, Turn 93%)
      Hero wins 0 BB
      MP wins 198 BB

      MP has 1.1k hands. VP 19 PFR 12. 3bet 6%.
      raise cbet on flop 26% (5/19) AF 3.1

      Very difficult for me, given his huge raise cbet percentage. And situation was that he could do it with flush draw or set or Ax 2 pair.
      Now I think I should have folded flop already.

      Turn, is it ok push If I decide not to give up? Because better hand will surelly bet on river, and with flush draw he will call turn push.
  • 1 reply
    • BogdanPS
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Hi Mlatasrb,

      Preflop: looks fine

      Postflop: First, I'd say that we should raise BBs donk here (what do we know about him, is he fishy?).

      Second I think that once we get raised really big (almost 5x) by MP we should simply fold. 19 hands for a raise CB stat is not really that conclusive. However I do agree that he could be doing this somewhat light because we are calling a small raise but he also has enough hands that he can do this for value with (and since we block the NFD he can't really raise Ah6h type hands).

      So I would personally just fold after calling Bb but my preferred line would be raising the flop myself.

      Secondly why are we shoving the turn? It's very unlikely that if villain raised the flop that big as bluff/semibluff that he would continue firing a blank turn after we called. So fold at least the turn.