[NL2-NL10] JJ overpair until turn

    • mrbeast87
      Joined: 22.02.2011 Posts: 194
      Poker Stars $0.02/$0.05 No Limit Hold'em - 9 players

      CO: $2.00
      Hero (BTN): $5.00
      SB: $4.95
      BB: $14.52
      UTG: $3.75
      UTG+1: $12.61
      UTG+2: $17.31
      MP1: $4.71
      MP2: $4.71

      Pre Flop: ($0.07) Hero is BTN with J :club: J :diamond:
      1 fold, UTG+1 raises to $0.15, 2 folds, MP2 calls $0.15, 1 fold, Hero calls $0.15, 1 fold, BB calls $0.10

      Flop: ($0.62) 9 :diamond: 7 :heart: 5 :spade: (4 players)
      BB checks, UTG+1 bets $0.25, MP2 calls $0.25, Hero raises to $0.90, BB folds, UTG+1 folds, MP2 calls $0.65

      Turn: ($2.67) Q :heart: (2 players)
      MP2 checks, Hero checks

      River: ($2.67) 6 :spade: (2 players)
      MP2 bets $2.55, Hero folds
  • 2 replies
    • BogdanPS
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Hi Mrbeast,

      Preflop: looks fine but since MP2 seems fishy (shorter stack) we could 3-bet preflop to isolate him (for value).

      Postflop: As played I'd bet turn 1/2 pot and ck back river. On the turn you still get called 9x, 88, TT, 66 even 7x.
    • Erevos
      Joined: 09.01.2011 Posts: 129
      Hello. This is very opponent dependant.
      On the flop, i like to raise-fold at this board. Sizing is fine, maybe could be even bigger.
      It is hard to put MP2 to a range without any information, so i assume he calls your raise (getting 2 : 0.65 = 3:1 pot odds) with a set or a pair+gutshot straight draw. Cannot find any OESD he may have and called a raise preflop, neither just a top pair and continue calling if he is not a fish.

      This is reasonable in my opinion:

      Board: 5:spade: 7:heart: 9:diamond:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      UTG    57.40%  56.95%   0.45% { JdJc }
      UTG+1  42.60%  42.15%   0.45% { TT-55 }

      The part i don't like at all is the checking the turn! I would definitely bet 1/2 pot - fold to a raise. Queen is a safe card for us and he will probably fold any low pair + draw.

      On the river, i would fold too.