[NL2-NL10] Rush NL10 1010 in SB.

    • BigAl123456
      BigAl123456
      Bronze
      Joined: 21.07.2010 Posts: 4,080
      Full Tilt, $0.05/$0.10 No Limit Hold'em Cash, Rush, 9 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      MP3: $4.08 (40.8 bb)
      CO: $16.33 (163.3 bb)
      BTN: $12.14 (121.4 bb)
      Hero (SB): $10.46 (104.6 bb)
      BB: $13.11 (131.1 bb)-VPIP 13%-PFR 9%-PFAF 1.3-FBBTS 78%(96)-3Bet 3.6%-WTSD 30%-W$SD 54%(78)-Hands 3103
      UTG+1: $10.19 (101.9 bb)
      UTG+2: $10 (100 bb)
      MP1: $11.84 (118.4 bb)
      MP2: $6.04 (60.4 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is SB with T T
      5 folds, CO raises to $0.30, BTN folds, Hero calls $0.25, BB calls $0.20

      Flop: ($0.90) J 5 T (3 players)
      Hero bets $0.65, BB calls $0.65, CO folds

      Turn: ($2.20) A (2 players)
      Hero bets $1.65, BB raises to $3.30, Hero calls $1.65

      River: ($8.80) 3 (2 players)
      Hero checks, BB bets $3.60, Hero calls $3.60

      Results:
      $16 pot ($1.06 rake)
      Final Board: J 5 T A 3
      Hero mucked T T and lost (-$7.85 net)
      BB showed K Q and won $14.94 ($7.09 net)


      CO is an Unknown and BB is TAGy over 3k hands,

      On the Turn not sure if Calling is correct or weather I should get the money in, on the River I dont think I can Fold and hop that he is overplaying 2 pair, I didnt think KQ was the most likely hand because I thought KQ would be hand that somebody would Sqz in his spot.
  • 4 replies
    • BogdanPS
      BogdanPS
      Basic
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Hi BigAl,

      Preflop: looks fine

      Flop: Why are we donking into 2 guys on this flop?

      I'd prefer to check to the preflop raiser here.

      Turn: So if you assume a nit squeezes KQ wouldn't you assume that AJ/AT could also be a squeeze (the other 2p you put in his range)?

      Plus this guy 3-bet 3.6%. He rarely will have bluffs in his range and you have a huge sample.

      On top of that you have a guy thats super passive and raises the turn when an obvious draw hit so he either has KQ, JJ or 55. He may even just call down 55 there.

      So, unless we have any reason (seen some showdowns) to believe that he can overplay AT/AJ this is almost always a KQ type hand, maybe a set.
    • BigAl123456
      BigAl123456
      Bronze
      Joined: 21.07.2010 Posts: 4,080
      Well the obv reason I'm donking Vs 2 guys is I have Mid Set and I'm not sure if BTN will CBet this so I dont to let free cards roll off.
    • BogdanPS
      BogdanPS
      Basic
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Originally posted by BigAl123456
      Well the obv reason I'm donking Vs 2 guys is I have Mid Set and I'm not sure if BTN will CBet this so I dont to let free cards roll off.
      Fair enough.

      But this is a somewhat dry flop and I'd expect the PFR to cbet a fairly wide range.

      I'd prefer the donk here if we had somewhat aggressive guys behind that could raise or call lighter (because of our move).

      If they both check behind it's usually a hand that can't really pay much (except in the case of BB when he can check some draws like 89/KQ).
    • serverm07
      serverm07
      Basic
      Joined: 08.08.2012 Posts: 1,130
      This is a bad spot for a tag to cbet wide so I doubt he is cbetting that much. I don't mind leading here twice but turn is the easiest b/f vs a nit here.