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[NL20-NL50] [SH] NL50 QQ river

    • duder1n0
      Joined: 07.07.2009 Posts: 5,335
      Prima, $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players

      MP: $50 (100 bb)
      CO: $56.53 (113.1 bb)
      BTN: $54.04 (108.1 bb)
      Hero (SB): $63.02 (126 bb)
      BB: $29.13 (58.3 bb)
      UTG: $50 (100 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is SB with Q Q
      2 folds, CO raises to $1.50, BTN folds, Hero raises to $5, BB folds, CO calls $3.50

      Flop: ($10.50) T 5 6 (2 players)
      Hero bets $6, CO calls $6

      Turn: ($22.50) J (2 players)
      Hero bets $11, CO calls $11

      River: ($44.50) 9 (2 players)
      Hero checks, CO bets $22.25, Hero calls $22.25

      Anon table.

      CO seemed like a fish after few hands.

      Just bet bigger flop/turn?
      As played, river? 9 is not the best card in the world, but as flushdraw is busted, I saw more value in ch/calling than in betting. On the other hand KQ/87s/J9s/T9s/JTs/99 beat me...
  • 1 reply
    • EmanuelC16
      Joined: 02.01.2010 Posts: 13,909
      I see a leak in your range evaluation. What J9 and KQ get to the river (flushdraws only)? Also, 99 doesn't get to the river 100% because it folds turn sometimes and he is left with 3 combos of those. I basically think you are overestimating his value range on river because you forgot he folds a lot of those combos on flop or turn.

      I would also argue a set and 2 pair raise the turn often with 2 flushdraws and so many draws that hit your range.

      I think check/calling river is fine because he has quite a few busted flushdraws in his range and sometimes you still get Jx to thinly value bet against more aggressive opponents. If you shove I don't think you get much value, you look like ridic strength imo, you could actually make him fold KK+ in some cases on that runout.