[NL2-NL10] qq 22

    • Dracsharp
      Dracsharp
      Bronze
      Joined: 22.01.2010 Posts: 2,478
      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.05(BB) Replayer
      SB ($7.05)
      BB ($7.80)
      UTG ($1.93)
      Hero ($5)
      CO ($8.54)
      BTN ($4.68)

      Dealt to Hero Q:spade: Q:diamond:

      fold, Hero raises to $0.17, CO raises to $0.50, fold, fold, fold, Hero calls $0.33

      FLOP ($1.07) 6:spade: 3:spade: 9:spade:

      Hero checks, CO bets $0.50, Hero calls $0.50

      TURN ($2.07) 6:spade: 3:spade: 9:spade: 8:heart:

      Hero checks, CO bets $0.95, Hero folds

      CO wins $1.94

  • 3 replies
    • kymupa
      kymupa
      Bronze
      Joined: 22.10.2009 Posts: 22,364
      Hello,

      Preflop I prefer 4betting and stacking off.

      As played, I'm probably calling both flop and turn, since I do expect him to bet his FD as well.

      Best,
      Plamen
    • Dracsharp
      Dracsharp
      Bronze
      Joined: 22.01.2010 Posts: 2,478
      I didn't 4b/broke because of his 3% 3bet scale

      If he goes broke we put money in 40-60 and our ev is -20 bb

      If he folds ak,qq then does it with kk+

      then 2/3 we win 15 bb but lose 60bb 1/3 of the time so -10 bb

      Not including rake

      On turn if he bets
      QQ+,AsKs,AdKs,AhKs,AsKd,AsKh,AsKc,AcKs i should call
      QQ+,AsKs,AsKd,AsKh,AsKc thin oddscall
      QQ+,AsKs i should fold

      Probably call is better i agree he has the aggression to make it possible but no idea if he keeps it up at the river

      Why should we 4b broke ?
    • kymupa
      kymupa
      Bronze
      Joined: 22.10.2009 Posts: 22,364
      First of all, his 3bet stats show 4% not 3%, but then we just have so small sample so we can't be exactly sure how much he 3bets.
      Of course, we can't say that he's a 3bet maniac and 3bets 20%, but he could easily be 3betting 6-7% here.
      So overall, I do believe that he goes broke with QQ+, AK and he probably do have some hands like JJ that he 3bet/fold and some bluffs so I think considering FE we have +EV stack off here.