[NL20-NL50] NL50sh - fine spot to raise?

    • Farmarchist
      Farmarchist
      Bronze
      Joined: 27.12.2010 Posts: 14,640
      Vs a good reg

      Poker Stars $50.00 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players - View hand 2040920
      DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

      Hero (BB): $60.27 - VPIP: 17, PFR: 15, 3B: 6, AF: 3.6, Hands: 554884
      UTG: $68.59 - VPIP: 24, PFR: 19, 3B: 9, AF: 2.9, Hands: 380
      MP: $54.77 - VPIP: 22, PFR: 20, 3B: 20, AF: 11.5, Hands: 143
      CO: $50.75 - VPIP: 18, PFR: 18, 3B: 0, AF: 0.0, Hands: 17
      BTN: $31.89 - VPIP: 18, PFR: 3, 3B: 0, AF: 0.0, Hands: 33
      SB: $60.64 - VPIP: 22, PFR: 20, 3B: 10, AF: 4.0, Hands: 301

      Pre Flop: ($0.75) Hero is BB with Q :diamond: K :spade:
      4 folds, SB raises to $1.50, Hero calls $1

      Flop: ($3.00) 2 :diamond: T :diamond: 8 :heart: (2 players)
      SB bets $2.00, Hero raises to $6, SB raises to $13.50, Hero folds
  • 5 replies
    • EmanuelC16
      EmanuelC16
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.01.2010 Posts: 13,897
      Not a good spot vs a good reg.

      Good reg knows you are more likely to call a hand such as Tx, 8x, 99 and you 3bet pre with many AQdd, AKdd, TT, JJ+ hands if not all of them, thus when you raise here a good reg will put you on weaker draws that can't handle a 3bet or complete air.
    • Farmarchist
      Farmarchist
      Bronze
      Joined: 27.12.2010 Posts: 14,640
      Do you call or fold?
    • EmanuelC16
      EmanuelC16
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.01.2010 Posts: 13,897
      Usually call but if he barrels often with a good range I just fold.

      Plan when calling is that he check/folds a lot so you rely on him more than on your equity and hand. They do it often and they barrel Q and K which are good for you but if he just barrels it gets tougher.

      Keep in mind you said he is a good reg. If you consider someone a good reg, you probably have a hard time making money off him. Whenever I see someone have a big leak he is no longer a good reg in my mind because I found how to print money vs him. You don't have such a leak here so you proabably won't make money in the long run with what you currently know.

      Raising can still be +EV because a lot of people just play honest here without thinking of your range but when you say you think he is a GOOD reg, I assume he thinks of this. Maybe I'm overestimating what level you consider good so my assumptions become incorrect.
    • Farmarchist
      Farmarchist
      Bronze
      Joined: 27.12.2010 Posts: 14,640
      Hehe :P

      Well, all his stats looked solid and he played a lot of tables . I didn't noticed any leak from him so that's why I called him a good reg (LAG)
    • EmanuelC16
      EmanuelC16
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.01.2010 Posts: 13,897
      22/20 is a LAG? :D

      Ideally you look at his barreling frequency and try to figure out his range starting from his SB UO PFR% and make a plan from there of when you could win the pot. If a raise here wins it often, raise is fine. If not, does he check/fold turn? Does he bet/fold turns?

      Any time you want to a more unusual play, with little equity, you need information. Without information nobody can really give you a definitive answer and will just state the obvious: figure out when you win, and do it! :D