[NL2-NL10] NL100 KJ steal+2overcards/GS/BDFD vs donkbet 1/3pot

    • TimothyVdp1
      Joined: 11.12.2007 Posts: 5,820
      $0.5/$1 No Limit Holdem
      7 players
      Converted at weaktight.com

      UTG Jelionwyn ($20.00)
      UTG 1 Its RIGGIGGITY ($105.00)
      MP Ktupac ($38.50)
      CO Hero ($20.00)
      BTN DEZWA ($21.00)
      SB youareallin ($105.90)
      BB Roy Stalin ($123.25)

      Pre-flop: ($1.50, 7 players) Hero is CO K:diamond: J:spade:
      3 folds, Hero raises to $3.50, 1 fold, youareallin calls $3, Roy Stalin calls $2.50

      Flop: 9:club: T:diamond: 7:diamond: ($10.50, 3 players)
      youareallin bets $3, 1 fold, Hero goes all-in $16.50, youareallin calls $13.50

      Turn: 5:diamond: ($43.50, 2 players)

      River: K:club: ($43.50, 2 players)

      Final Pot: $43.50

      His bet looks really really weak to me, probably a draw of some sort; so I push
      I have a GS+2overs +BDFD which gives me 10 outs and if I get called by a draw I'm probably ahead :)
  • 4 replies
    • ysessa
      Joined: 11.07.2008 Posts: 1,331
      nice hand, fold equity plus 8-11 outs so well played.
    • dallievas
      Joined: 30.11.2007 Posts: 822
      Nice hand TimothyVdp1.Do you still play without stats?
      I think on flop you have 15 outs ( double belly buster Q,8+2 oc+backdoor FD), but you should discount some because of multiway pot,FD etc.-total 13 outs so strong draw or little monster.You are preflop aggressor,can play draw aggressively by pushing,but if you know that you have little FE against opps can just call and push turn because you have real monster (~19 outs).
      I don`t know ops stats but on flop your EV 39% vs 34 % vs29% , on turn 48% vs 52% .Should be EV+.
      His bet looks really really weak to me

      Do you have reads what his donkbet means.Usually you are right-it`s a weak made hand or strong draw,but sometimes can be the nuts.You should note those opps.
      Good luck :)
    • TimothyVdp1
      Joined: 11.12.2007 Posts: 5,820
      I play with stats but didn't have any on him (not enough)
      he had exactly the same hand and I noted him ;)

      didn't even notice I had a double bellybuster yet :D
      thanks ;)
    • xylere
      Joined: 27.05.2007 Posts: 2,939
      well played