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[NL20-NL50] KQo TP vs min raise on dry flop

    • AchillesBG
      Joined: 06.02.2011 Posts: 4,586
      Prima, $0.20/$0.40 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 5 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      BTN: $125.50 (313.8 bb)
      SB: $56.11 (140.3 bb)
      BB: $40 (100 bb)
      Hero (MP): $40 (100 bb)
      CO: $37.91 (94.8 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is MP with K Q
      Hero raises to $1.40, CO calls $1.40, 3 folds

      Flop: ($3.40) 6 Q 2 (2 players)
      Hero bets $2, CO raises to $4, Hero calls $2

      Turn: ($11.40) 9 (2 players)
      Hero checks, CO bets $4, Hero calls $4

      River: ($19.40) 4 (2 players)
      Hero checks, CO bets $4, Hero calls $4

      $27.40 pot ($1.37 rake)
      Final Board: 6 Q 2 9 4
      Hero mucked K Q and lost (-$13.40 net)
      CO showed 9 9 and won $26.03 ($12.63 net)

      50/8 44% agg. freq., raise Cbet 0(14). 213 hands

      I have a note that he donks TPNK and bet 3 streets (small turn+river).

      I should probably bet more on the flop.

      With this note, can i expect him to min raise TP hands and just reraise him on the flop?

      As played, i should probably raise turn? It is way ahead, way behind spot but is probably better to raise here, because i miss value from his weaker hands which should be a lot more?

      Edit:Another question, because this guy is some kind of regular fish (I played 3 sessions with him) After seeing this showdown, what should be our plan in similar spots? Raise flop with TPGK+, or raise turn?
  • 2 replies
    • serverm07
      Joined: 08.08.2012 Posts: 1,130
      $2 on the flop is fine, I play it the exact same way. I think the fact that he never raised cbets before would make me inclined to put him on sets on the flop or stupidly played Qx, I think if we raise turn here we would be overreping our hand and I rather just call again. If he jammed river I would probably be inclined to fold but when he bets so small I say fuck him and call in case he has worse Q
    • mbml
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,779

      the way you played it is fine, i would have done the exact same thing.

      in future my main adjustment is to 3bet bluff the flop against this guy a lot. his raise to see where he is at is just a very silly play which doesn´t achieve anything (we could bluff him off his mid pair with our ace high and we never fold our QX hands)