[NL20-NL50] AK TPTK vs turn min raise

    • AchillesBG
      AchillesBG
      Gold
      Joined: 06.02.2011 Posts: 4,562
      Prima, $0.20/$0.40 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 5 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      SB: $24.76 (61.9 bb)
      BB: $42.74 (106.9 bb)
      MP: $53.51 (133.8 bb)
      Hero (CO): $47.16 (117.9 bb)
      BTN: $78.96 (197.4 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is CO with K:club: A:spade:
      MP folds, Hero raises to $1.20, BTN folds, SB calls $1, BB folds

      Flop: ($2.80) Q:heart: A:heart: 3:spade: (2 players)
      SB checks, Hero bets $2, SB calls $2

      Turn: ($6.80) T:club: (2 players)
      SB checks, Hero bets $4.40, SB raises to $8.80, Hero folds

      Results: $15.60 pot ($0.78 rake)
      Final Board: Q:heart: A:heart: 3:spade: T:club:
      SB mucked and won $14.82 ($7.22 net)
      Hero mucked K:club: A:spade: and lost (-$7.60 net)

      40/0 16 hands, 18% agg. freq.

      The turn is snap fold, right?
  • 4 replies
    • serverm07
      serverm07
      Basic
      Joined: 08.08.2012 Posts: 1,130
      looks good, I'm assuming 40/0 only c/r two pairs here. I wonder if we are getting the right price to call here, too lazy to do the math but we have to call 4.4 to win 15.6 I think and I think we have 7 outs, 4 clean outs and K is probably a clean out. Also it depends on how stationy he is, if he will x/c two pair after we hit J then it might be ok to call but I think folding is fine.
    • AchillesBG
      AchillesBG
      Gold
      Joined: 06.02.2011 Posts: 4,562
      MP2 15.69% 14.37% 1.32% AsKc
      MP3 84.31% 82.99% 1.32% ATs, KJs, QTs, AQo, ATo, KJo, QTo

      We need 18% to call. It`s close spot and vs. fish folding is probably better, without drawing to the nuts?
    • serverm07
      serverm07
      Basic
      Joined: 08.08.2012 Posts: 1,130
      Yea it's a fold imo.
    • mbml
      mbml
      Black
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,694
      hi.

      good fold. even if he´s short his range here is 2p+. dont forget he probably fires most rivers so that isnt your true odds on the turn.