[NL20-NL50] NL50sh - KQ vs shorty

    • Farmarchist
      Farmarchist
      Bronze
      Joined: 27.12.2010 Posts: 14,640
      Hey!

      Villain is unkn but plays 1 table so prob a fish. Should I be willing to go broke PF with QKo here?

      He calls. Was this an easy shove on the flop? I thought he had a billion Ax combo's in his range :(

      Poker Stars $50.00 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players - View hand 2041532
      DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

      BB: $63.82 - VPIP: 26, PFR: 20, 3B: 8, AF: 3.0, Hands: 113
      UTG: $62.20 - VPIP: 42, PFR: 20, 3B: 6, AF: 2.0, Hands: 79
      MP: $50.69 - VPIP: 24, PFR: 15, 3B: 2, AF: 3.2, Hands: 304
      CO: $50.75 - VPIP: 18, PFR: 13, 3B: 6, AF: 1.8, Hands: 88
      BTN: $12.46 - VPIP: 33, PFR: 33, 3B: 0, AF: 0.0, Hands: 6
      Hero (SB): $50.00 - VPIP: 17, PFR: 15, 3B: 6, AF: 3.6, Hands: 556267

      Pre Flop: ($0.75) Hero is SB with K :heart: Q :club:
      3 folds, BTN raises to $1, Hero raises to $4, 1 fold, BTN calls $3

      Flop: ($8.50) A :heart: 3 :spade: 5 :spade: (2 players)
      Hero checks, BTN bets $8.46, Hero folds
  • 4 replies
    • Farmarchist
      Farmarchist
      Bronze
      Joined: 27.12.2010 Posts: 14,640
      this can be his going-broke range...

      nl.pokerstrategy.com
      Equity Winst Split
      MP2 46.86% 45.08% 1.77% { KdQs }
      MP3 53.14% 51.37% 1.77% { 22+, A2s+, K9s+, QTs+, JTs, T9s, 98s, 87s, 76s, A2o+, KTo+, QTo+, JTo }


      With some FE (he folds sometimes vs the 3bet)... It should be fine to 3bet/broke pre right?

      Flop is still close because Ax hands are like 60% of that range. Maybe he can't fold a PP which makes it a check/fold.


      Looks nice played after this evaluation. Did I say anything wrong here?
    • EmanuelC16
      EmanuelC16
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.01.2010 Posts: 13,909
      Why do you think he'd stack off 76s and JTo and QTo and K9s and all that stuff?

      This is a spot where I would actually prefer calling preflop more than 3betting it.
    • Farmarchist
      Farmarchist
      Bronze
      Joined: 27.12.2010 Posts: 14,640
      Originally posted by EmanuelC16
      Why do you think he'd stack off 76s and JTo and QTo and K9s and all that stuff?

      This is a spot where I would actually prefer calling preflop more than 3betting it.
      Hmm yeah too optimistic :/

      Thanks for the advise m8!
    • EmanuelC16
      EmanuelC16
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.01.2010 Posts: 13,909
      Your hand would be a decent 4bet shove probably, but not a call 4bet against such a shorty, if he can 3bet bluff. More dead money basically. :)