This site uses cookies to improve your browsing experience. By continuing to browse the website, you accept such cookies. For more details and to change your settings, see our Cookie Policy and Privacy Policy. Close

[NL20-NL50] K4s 2 pairs, river shove?

    • AchillesBG
      AchillesBG
      Silver
      Joined: 06.02.2011 Posts: 4,586
      Prima, $0.10/$0.20 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 4 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      CO: $49.84 (249.2 bb)
      BTN: $23.78 (118.9 bb)
      SB: $21.15 (105.7 bb)
      Hero (BB): $37.13 (185.7 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is BB with K:club: 4:club:
      CO folds, BTN raises to $0.40, SB folds, Hero calls $0.20

      Flop: ($0.90) K:diamond: 5:spade: 4:diamond: (2 players)
      Hero checks, BTN bets $0.90, Hero raises to $3, BTN calls $2.10

      Turn: ($6.90) Q:heart: (2 players)
      Hero bets $5, BTN calls $5

      River: ($16.90) 2:heart: (2 players)
      Hero bets $28.73 and is all-in

      64/21 67 hands Doesn`t like to fold. Passive postflop.

      Preflop i have playable hand, good prize and big fish to play with. => call

      The flop is nice, so i raise for value. I expect him to call any Kx,AA,any draw and maybe some middle pairs as well.

      The turn is not the greatest but i think i can still get value from a lot of worse hands.

      The river is blank, so i decided to shove for value, expecting a call from KT/KJ/AK/AA/54s

      MP2 68.09% 65.96% 2.13% Kc4c
      MP3 31.91% 29.79% 2.13% QQ+, 55, AKs, KTs+, K5s-K4s, 54s, AKo, KTo+

      + a lot of FE from draws and weaker Kx.

      Even vs. stronger range, i can still ship it.

      MP2 51.61% 48.39% 3.23% Kc4c
      MP3 48.39% 45.16% 3.23% QQ+, 55, AKs, KQs, K5s-K4s, 54s, AKo, KQo
  • 1 reply
    • EmanuelC16
      EmanuelC16
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.01.2010 Posts: 13,909
      Yeah, I agree with your analisys.. Keeping in mind it's Blind vs BU you get less respect so his calling range will be wider. I wouldn't be too surprised to see AQdd or AQss call here.

      I think you have to include A3 and 63, at least some combos imo.. but I believe it's still a value shove.

      LE: You can also discount some 54s, 44, 55, KK imo because they stack of on flop.. not all but at least 1/4 of them IMO.