[NL2-NL10] Overpair on wet board

    • boozaf
      Joined: 02.12.2009 Posts: 140
      PokerStars - $0.10 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 5 players

      CO: $6.79
      BTN: $9.00
      SB: $10.15
      Hero (BB): $9.92
      UTG: $10.81

      SB posts SB $0.05, Hero posts BB $0.10

      Pre Flop: (pot: $0.15) Hero has K:spade: K:heart:

      fold, CO raises to $0.20, fold, fold, Hero raises to $0.65, CO calls $0.45

      Flop: ($1.35, 2 players) 8:spade: 5:spade: 7:heart:
      Hero bets $1.31, CO calls $1.31

      Turn: ($3.97, 2 players) 9:club:
      Hero bets $2.52, CO calls $2.52

      River: ($9.01, 2 players) J:spade:
      Hero checks, CO bets $2.31 and is all-in, Hero calls $2.31

      Preflop and flop are standard; turn was a bet/fold, I guess, since check/fold would be too weak. Then the ugliest card on the planet showed on river and I only payed for the odds.

      Didn't have much information on villain; he was on the looser side but not too crazy.
  • 1 reply
    • BogdanPS
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Hi Boozaf,

      Preflop: looks fine although I'd 3-bet larger OOP here vs shortie

      Flop: looks good, I like your big bet.

      Turn: Not a terrible turn but not the greatest either so we can bet big for value still. We can even shove considering how little money is left behind.

      River: I'm trying to figure out what hands could still bet that we win against. Do you see any? Unless villain calls suited connecters and has random 2p I don't see much else (and random 2p may not even bet the river).

      We get 17% pot odds, but do we even win this hand 2 out of 10 times?