[NL2-NL10] A9s fd on flop, against raise

    • mlatasrb
      mlatasrb
      Gold
      Joined: 01.04.2012 Posts: 2,720
      PartyGaming - $0.10 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
      Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

      BTN: 110.9 BB
      SB: 97.6 BB
      BB: 100.7 BB
      Hero (UTG): 105 BB
      MP: 27.4 BB
      CO: 207.3 BB

      SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

      Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has 9:spade: A:spade:

      Hero raises to 3 BB, fold, CO calls 3 BB, BTN calls 3 BB, fold, fold

      Flop: (10.5 BB, 3 players) 2:spade: K:heart: J:spade:
      Hero bets 7.5 BB, fold, BTN raises to 26 BB, Hero calls 18.5 BB

      Turn: (62.5 BB, 2 players) 5:spade:
      Hero checks, BTN bets 13 BB, Hero raises to 28 BB, BTN raises to 81.9 BB and is all-in, Hero calls 48 BB and is all-in

      River: (214.5 BB, 2 players) 8:spade:

      Hero shows 9:spade: A:spade: (Flush, Ace High) (Pre 50%, Flop 26%, Turn 77%)
      BTN shows 2:club: 2:heart: (Three of a Kind, Twos) (Pre 50%, Flop 74%, Turn 23%)
      BTN wins 0 BB
      Hero wins 204.5 BB


      BTN 10 hands, VPiP 50. PFR 10.

      It looks like nuts to me, so I need to pay on flop 1.85, to win 4.35$ plus his stack 8$ = 12.35$

      Is it bad to call it? If I know that he will be all in if I hit flush on turn, than it is profitable, but not great.

      On turn, should I donk 50%? And what about my mini raise? his small bet looks to me that he is afraid of flush, so I mini raise that he has to call, and than he probably calls bet on river.
  • 3 replies
    • BogdanPS
      BogdanPS
      Basic
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Hey mlatasrb,

      Preflop: looks fine

      Postflop: You get 30% pot odds to call that flop. You have 9 outs so roughly 18% thus we need a lot of implied ods.

      Considering villain may be fishy so far he will have a hard time letting his good hand go so we do have our implied odds.

      If we call, miss and he bets big/shoves we have to fold.
    • mlatasrb
      mlatasrb
      Gold
      Joined: 01.04.2012 Posts: 2,720
      Why do you say we have 9 outs? We have 9 outs in the best case, but most of time he has set, and we have 8 outs, becasue if turn comes K, he gets full hause and we get flush.
    • BogdanPS
      BogdanPS
      Basic
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Originally posted by mlatasrb
      Why do you say we have 9 outs? We have 9 outs in the best case, but most of time he has set, and we have 8 outs, becasue if turn comes K, he gets full hause and we get flush.
      You are right, but 8 or 9 outs is pretty much the same and won't change much in this case.