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[NL2-NL10] AK 3bet pot, so unlucky :)

    • mlatasrb
      Joined: 01.04.2012 Posts: 2,730
      PartyGaming - $0.10 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
      Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

      BTN: 167.7 BB
      SB: 65.6 BB
      Hero (BB): 329.7 BB
      UTG: 131.3 BB
      MP: 182.6 BB
      CO: 167.5 BB

      SB posts SB 0.5 BB, Hero posts BB 1 BB

      Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has K:heart: A:spade:

      UTG calls 1 BB, MP raises to 5 BB, fold, fold, fold, Hero raises to 15 BB, fold, MP calls 10 BB

      Flop: (31.5 BB, 2 players) A:club: 3:diamond: 2:heart:
      Hero bets 15 BB, MP raises to 30 BB, Hero calls 15 BB

      Turn: (91.5 BB, 2 players) 9:diamond:
      Hero checks, MP bets 43.5 BB, Hero calls 43.5 BB

      River: (178.5 BB, 2 players) 4:diamond:
      Hero checks, MP bets 94.1 BB and is all-in, Hero calls 94.1 BB

      Hero shows K:heart: A:spade: (One Pair, Aces) (Pre 70%, Flop 93%, Turn 80%)
      MP shows Q:diamond: K:diamond: (Flush, King High) (Pre 30%, Flop 7%, Turn 20%)
      MP wins 356.7 BB

      1.6 hands, 19 VPiP 12 PFR, fold to 3bet 79%. in 3bet pots call cbet 2/7, raise 4/7, once fold.

      I bet small, to induce bluff, because of his high raise cbet. all other streets I check call, to let him bluff :) Is it ok?
  • 1 reply
    • BogdanPS
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Hey mlatasrb,

      Preflop: looks fine

      Postflop: I wouldn't say his raise cbet stat is that reliable however 4/7 does seem high.

      To induce further we can bet even smaller. The rest looks a bit light and we are shown how powerful bluffs with backdoors are. I'd imagine this type of villain giving up a fair bit by the river, especially on low cards.

      So for me river is much closer to a ck/fold than ck/call unless the other 4 times he raised he played similar and we've seen some bluffs at showdown. A showdown (or actual line) is much more important that those stats here because you are making a big decision based on that info.