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[NL20-NL50] preflop call to squeeze or fold?

    • daisuke3823
      daisuke3823
      Bronze
      Joined: 05.02.2008 Posts: 8,321
      Hand converted with online PokerStrategy.com hand converter:

      ハンドをプレーする

      $0.25/$0.5 No-Limit Hold'em (6 handed)

      Known players:
      BU (Hero):
      $59.77
      SB:
      $143.34
      BB:
      $48.75
      MP2:
      $48.73
      MP3:
      $116.65
      CO:
      $61.07


      Preflop: Hero is BU with J, K.
      2 folds, CO raises to $1.55, Hero raises to $4.00, SB raises to $10.00, 2 folds, Hero calls $6.00.

      Flop: ($22.05) 2, 4, A (2 players)
      SB bets $10.50, Hero folds, SB gets uncalled bet back.

      Final Pot: $22.05.


      his stats in 181 hands vpip28 pfr25 af4,3 wtsd27 3BET7,9 squeeze 0  

      he reraised me 3 times in past.
      BEP is 27 %
      if I put his range AA,KK,QQ,AK. equity is 25.7%
      so should I just fold it?
      if I was OOP ,I would have just folded.
  • 5 replies
    • BogdanPS
      BogdanPS
      Basic
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Hi Daisuke,

      Preflop: Why exactly are we calling preflop? That should be your main question.

      What do you do if you flop a K or J? Do you go broke?

      Simply 3-bet/fold here preflop and if he is really aggro and 4-bets a lot we expend our value range and reduce our bluff range.
    • daisuke3823
      daisuke3823
      Bronze
      Joined: 05.02.2008 Posts: 8,321
      Originally posted by BogdanPS
      Hi Daisuke,

      Preflop: Why exactly are we calling preflop? That should be your main question.

      What do you do if you flop a K or J? Do you go broke?

      Simply 3-bet/fold here preflop and if he is really aggro and 4-bets a lot we expend our value range and reduce our bluff range.

      I wouldnt go broke even if I hit K or J.
      if I get 2 pair or flush draw,i would go broke,
    • BogdanPS
      BogdanPS
      Basic
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Originally posted by daisuke3823
      Originally posted by BogdanPS
      Hi Daisuke,

      Preflop: Why exactly are we calling preflop? That should be your main question.

      What do you do if you flop a K or J? Do you go broke?

      Simply 3-bet/fold here preflop and if he is really aggro and 4-bets a lot we expend our value range and reduce our bluff range.

      I wouldnt go broke even if I hit K or J.
      if I get 2 pair or flush draw,i would go broke,
      Perfect,

      How often do you get 2p+ or flushdraw?

      We get 28% pot odds.

      PS: I'd still just fold preflop.
    • daisuke3823
      daisuke3823
      Bronze
      Joined: 05.02.2008 Posts: 8,321
      Originally posted by BogdanPS
      Originally posted by daisuke3823
      Originally posted by BogdanPS
      Hi Daisuke,

      Preflop: Why exactly are we calling preflop? That should be your main question.

      What do you do if you flop a K or J? Do you go broke?

      Simply 3-bet/fold here preflop and if he is really aggro and 4-bets a lot we expend our value range and reduce our bluff range.

      I wouldnt go broke even if I hit K or J.
      if I get 2 pair or flush draw,i would go broke,
      Perfect,

      How often do you get 2p+ or flushdraw?

      We get 28% pot odds.

      PS: I'd still just fold preflop.



      2 pairs 2%
      I dont know how to calculate flush draw?
    • BogdanPS
      BogdanPS
      Basic
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      It should be 2p+ but it's usually 5% (for 2p, trips, quads, flush, straight, etc)

      For flush draw it's roughly 10% of the time (same for most OESDs).

      So in your case you are hoping to flop something 15% of the time yet you get 28% pot odds. So you definitely need some implied odds. The bigger problem is that when you flop a draw (66% of the time) you don't actually have a made hand so more money has to go in there (sometimes with FE).

      So overall you don't have that great of a spot.