[NL2-NL10] NL2 FR KQo

    • JohnDoe1313
      Joined: 04.01.2011 Posts: 5,195
      Full Tilt, $0.01/$0.02 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 9 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      MP2: $1.26 (63 bb) - VPIP: 11, PFR: 0, 3B: 0, AF: 0,0, Hands: 18
      MP3: $0.68 (34 bb)
      CO: $0.80 (40 bb)
      Hero (BTN): $0.76 (38 bb)
      SB: $2.83 (141.5 bb)
      BB: $2 (100 bb)
      UTG+1: $1.89 (94.5 bb) - VPIP: 73, PFR: 40, 3B: 20, AF: 0,0, Hands: 30
      UTG+2: $2.16 (108 bb)
      MP1: $5.67 (283.5 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is BTN with K Q
      UTG+1 calls $0.02, 2 folds, MP2 calls $0.02, 2 folds, Hero raises to $0.12, 3 folds, MP2 calls $0.10

      Flop: ($0.29) 9 5 J (2 players)
      MP2 bets $0.08, Hero ?

      Hey. I'm not sure about flop play.

      MP's limp/calling range could look something like this

      This might be his donk/calling range as my push won't probably generate much FEQ.

      Board: J:diamond: 9:club: 5:club:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      MP2    67.36%  67.20%   0.16% { TT, JhJs, JhJc, JsJc, 9d9h, 9d9s, 9h9s, 5d5h, 5d5s, 5h5s, KhJh, KsJs, QhJh, QsJs, QcJc, AcTc, KcTc, QhTh, QsTs, QcTc, JhTh, JsTs, JcTc, Ad9d, Ah9h, As9s, Td9d, Th9h, Ts9s, Ac8c, 9d8d, 9h8h, 9s8s, Ac7c, Ac6c, Ac4c, Ac3c, Ac2c, AdJh, AdJs, AdJc, AhJs, AhJc, AsJh, AsJc, AcJh, AcJs, Ad9h, Ad9s, Ah9d, Ah9s, As9d, As9h, Ac9d, Ac9h, Ac9s, KdJh, KdJs, KdJc, KhJs, KhJc, KsJh, KsJc, QhJs, QhJc, QsJh, QsJc, QcJh, QcJs }
      BU     32.64%  32.48%   0.16% { KcQd }

      For push being profitable 40% equity without rake discount is needed. Against his potentional calling range I have roughly 32%. Should I simply fold here? Calling doesn't bring much since my hand is just two overs, gutshot and a backdoor flush draw. Thanks
  • 1 reply
    • kymupa
      Joined: 22.10.2009 Posts: 22,364

      Preflop is fine.

      I think that given the good odds we could consider calling one street and reevaluating the turn here.
      We have two overcards, gutshot, backdoor FD and we need less than 20% equity, also we are IP so we can pick up the pot if he checks.