[NL20-NL50] [sh] nl 50 JJ overpair vs flop shove

    • DeMarcohsp
      DeMarcohsp
      Bronze
      Joined: 15.06.2010 Posts: 1,975
      On Game, $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 5 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      SB: $94.45 (188.9 bb)
      Hero (BB): $56.19 (112.4 bb)
      MP: $50 (100 bb)
      CO: $47.83 (95.7 bb)
      BTN: $126.04 (252.1 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is BB with J J
      MP folds, CO raises to $1.50, BTN folds, SB calls $1.25, Hero raises to $6.50, CO folds, SB calls $5

      Flop: ($14.50) 8 7 9 (2 players)
      SB bets $87.95 and is all-in, Hero calls $49.69 and is all-in

      Turn: ($113.88) Q (2 players, 2 are all-in)
      River: ($113.88) 5 (2 players, 2 are all-in)

      Results:
      $113.88 pot ($3 rake)
      Final Board: 8 7 9 Q 5
      SB showed 5 6 and won $110.88 ($54.69 net)
      Hero showed J J and lost (-$56.19 net)




      Board: 8:diamond: 7:spade: 9:heart:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      MP2    49.65%  48.97%   0.68% { JsJc }
      MP3    50.35%  49.67%   0.68% { TT, 88-77, QTs, T9s, 97s, 87s, 76s, 65s }



      Tried to figure out a range for him. What do you think ?
  • 2 replies
    • double2
      double2
      Coach
      Coach
      Joined: 04.11.2008 Posts: 14,642
      I would definitely exclude at least some combos of sets from his range, it's simply not a line that I see that often. And I think 66 is in its range.

      Our overpair combined with GS vs this line makes me snap call.

      Make a note on him, apparently he likes to play like this monsters.
    • BogdanPS
      BogdanPS
      Basic
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Originally posted by double2
      I would definitely exclude at least some combos of sets from his range, it's simply not a line that I see that often. And I think 66 is in its range.

      Our overpair combined with GS vs this line makes me snap call.

      Make a note on him, apparently he likes to play like this monsters.
      +1

      I doubt we can ever put 56o in his range nor can we expect him to shove his nutted hands here by default (TJ, 77-99). So while I'm not thrilled putting 40%+ of the money here I think that we will be ahead enough of the time.