[NL2-NL10] AK sqeeze, deep

    • mlatasrb
      mlatasrb
      Bronze
      Joined: 01.04.2012 Posts: 2,722
      PartyGaming - $0.10 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
      Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

      BTN: 280.5 BB
      Hero (SB): 182.3 BB
      BB: 96.6 BB
      UTG: 149.5 BB
      MP: 127.4 BB
      CO: 62.9 BB

      Hero posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

      Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has A:club: K:diamond:

      UTG raises to 3 BB, MP calls 3 BB, CO calls 3 BB, fold, Hero raises to 15 BB, fold, UTG calls 12 BB, MP calls 12 BB, fold

      Flop: (49 BB, 3 players) 8:club: 2:heart: A:diamond:
      Hero bets 23.3 BB, UTG calls 23.3 BB, fold

      Turn: (95.6 BB, 2 players) 2:diamond:
      Hero bets 40 BB, UTG raises to 111.2 BB and is all-in, Hero calls 71.2 BB

      River: (318 BB, 2 players) 2:spade:

      Hero shows A:club: K:diamond: (Full House, Twos full of Aces) (Pre 45%, Flop 2%, Turn 5%)
      UTG shows 8:spade: 8:diamond: (Full House, Eights full of Twos) (Pre 55%, Flop 98%, Turn 95%)
      UTG wins 308 BB


      27 hands VPiP 30.

      I bet smaller then half turn, because river will be also smaller then half, so that weaker Ax calls easier.
      Could I fold against unknown on turn? I lose only against 88, 22, A8, A2.
  • 3 replies
    • BogdanPS
      BogdanPS
      Basic
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Hey mlatasrb,

      Preflop: looks fine

      Postflop: What weaker Ax does he have besides something like AQ?

      This deep I'd probably consider bet/folding the turn against unknown. I'd expect him to play like this AK+ so we may fold vs a split occasionally.
    • mlatasrb
      mlatasrb
      Bronze
      Joined: 01.04.2012 Posts: 2,722
      You are right, but my bet was a little bit inducing to bluff.
      He might have, AQ, AK, sometimes AJ, TT, JJ, QQ, total air, if he is crazy, and I see it often in 3bet pots.
    • BogdanPS
      BogdanPS
      Basic
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Originally posted by mlatasrb
      You are right, but my bet was a little bit inducing to bluff.
      He might have, AQ, AK, sometimes AJ, TT, JJ, QQ, total air, if he is crazy, and I see it often in 3bet pots.
      The problem is that vs an unknown guy we don't know if we can induce or not. That's the only downside. We are hoping that we can but we won't really know.