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[NL20-NL50] AQs TPTK vs flop min raise + turn overbet

    • AchillesBG
      AchillesBG
      Silver
      Joined: 06.02.2011 Posts: 4,586
      Prima, $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      CO: $46.08 (92.2 bb)
      BTN: $64.07 (128.1 bb)
      Hero (SB): $66.69 (133.4 bb)
      BB: $48.50 (97 bb)
      UTG: $76.18 (152.4 bb)
      MP: $49.89 (99.8 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is SB with Q:club: A:club:
      UTG folds, MP calls $0.50, 2 folds, Hero raises to $2.50, BB folds, MP calls $2

      Flop: ($5.50) 3:club: 9:diamond: Q:heart: (2 players)
      Hero bets $3.10, MP raises to $6.20, Hero calls $3.10

      Turn: ($17.90) 9:heart: (2 players)
      Hero checks, MP bets $41.19 and is all-in, Hero calls $41.19

      66/12, 37% agg.freq., 79hands

      I think calling the min raise is ok.

      On the turn? He can have 9x/33, but this 2x overbet doesn`t make sence, so i decided to call?
  • 4 replies
    • serverm07
      serverm07
      Basic
      Joined: 08.08.2012 Posts: 1,130
      Nobody can really give you any solid advice without having any reads on this guy.
    • Saren113
      Saren113
      Bronze
      Joined: 06.03.2009 Posts: 2,973
      Only reps QQ or 33, would still fold turn tho we need to be right to often to make this call, he needs to be bluffing 7/10 times what is unlikely tbh. Would just fold move on and wait for a more +EV spot!
    • serverm07
      serverm07
      Basic
      Joined: 08.08.2012 Posts: 1,130
      This is a +EV spot if we have reads that he can play air hands like this. He also can play 9x like this so he is not repping just QQ/33.
    • BogdanPS
      BogdanPS
      Basic
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Originally posted by serverm07
      This is a +EV spot if we have reads that he can play air hands like this. He also can play 9x like this so he is not repping just QQ/33.
      +1,

      This spot is very dependent on what we know about villain.

      In these 80 hands from which he played about 53 of them I would imagine that we saw a few showdowns that could tell us how he plays some of his hands.

      Without reads I'm folding here.