[NL20-NL50] KK against sqeeze

    • mlatasrb
      mlatasrb
      Gold
      Joined: 01.04.2012 Posts: 2,720
      PartyGaming - $0.25 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
      Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

      BTN: 81.52 BB
      SB: 109.64 BB
      BB: 108.36 BB
      Hero (UTG): 138.16 BB
      MP: 388.76 BB
      CO: 151.08 BB

      SB posts SB 0.4 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

      Pre Flop: (pot: 1.4 BB) Hero has K:spade: K:diamond:

      Hero raises to 3 BB, fold, CO calls 3 BB, BTN raises to 10 BB, fold, fold, Hero calls 7 BB, fold

      Flop: (24.4 BB, 2 players) 7:diamond: 5:spade: 5:club:
      Hero checks, BTN bets 20 BB, Hero calls 20 BB

      Turn: (64.4 BB, 2 players) 6:club:
      Hero checks, BTN bets 51.52 BB and is all-in, Hero calls 51.52 BB

      River: (167.44 BB, 2 players) 9:spade:

      Hero shows K:spade: K:diamond: (Two Pair, Kings and Fives) (Pre 81%, Flop 92%, Turn 95%)
      BTN mucks Q:club: Q:heart: (Two Pair, Queens and Fives) (Pre 19%, Flop 8%, Turn 5%)
      Hero wins 159.08 BB


      100 hands, VPiP 15, PFR 10. 3bet 9, sqeeze 15, cbet 3bet pots 3/3
      I call, because of his high sqeeze and 3bet, and more important cbet flop.
      So I expect him to bluff barrel a lot, and against QQ, and weaker I hit anyway, except when A is on flop.

      Against guy who doesnt 3bet so much, or doesnt cbet flop, I would go for 4bet.
      And I think this is also good for balancing our calling and 4bet range.
      Is it ok?
  • 1 reply
    • BogdanPS
      BogdanPS
      Basic
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Hey mlatasrb,

      Preflop: First off I don't think you ever need to worry about balance at 25nl, especially not against a guy that you've played only 100 hands with.

      Second, who is CO? is he fishy and we want to keep him in?

      Since BTN is shorter I'd expect him to stack off slightly lighter so I prefer a small 4-bet here and go with the hand. The sample we have is not really conclusive for all those 3-bet stats.

      Postflop: As played it looks fine especially versus such a larger flop cbet.