[NL2-NL10] K9 wrong call on river

    • PewPewPoker
      PewPewPoker
      Bronze
      Joined: 11.08.2011 Posts: 106
      Hi,
      villain had a vpip of 13 and pfr of 10 over 40 hands.
      Didnt know what his limping range was, but I assumed suited connector type of hands or maybe even pockets. and weak Ax hands.

      Flop and turn were protection/value bets. I wasn't too happy about the river, because he could have made 2 pair or his AdXd would have hit too.
      But the odds were like 5:1 so if he bet his busted draw there 1:5 times it would be about breakeven right? But on the other hand, he didn't seem like the type of player to make such a move (rather tight stats, altough sample is really really small).
      Would you just fold?

      Hand converted with online PokerStrategy.com hand converter:

      Hand afspelen

      $0.05/$0.1 No-Limit Hold'em (6 handed)

      Known players:
      MP3:
      $6.50
      CO:
      $3.57
      BU (Hero):
      $10.00
      SB:
      $13.94
      BB:
      $9.97
      MP2:
      $3.61


      Preflop: Hero is BU with 9, K.
      MP2 calls $0.10, 2 folds, Hero raises to $0.40, 2 folds, MP2 calls $0.30.

      Flop: ($0.95) K, 4, 7 (2 players)
      MP2 checks, Hero bets $0.60, MP2 calls $0.60.

      Turn: ($2.15) 5 (2 players)
      MP2 checks, Hero bets $1.30, MP2 calls $1.30.

      River: ($4.75) A (2 players)
      MP2 bets $1.31, Hero calls $1.31.

      Final Pot: $7.37.
  • 1 reply
    • BogdanPS
      BogdanPS
      Basic
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Hi Pew,

      I think this one is close. If he had a full stack and bet that small a call would be better. A lot of his FDs (suited aces) picked up TP there.

      The problem is he can also take this line with some better Kx like KT/KJ/KQ so I think it's closer to a fold.