[NL2-NL10] nl10Sh FF 99 raise river?

    • RasTweet
      Joined: 26.12.2009 Posts: 4,553
      Hey guys!

      SB: 43/0 only 7 hands
      MP: 12/11/3,1 after 927 hands

      Flop: I think I can donk here, I didn't do it because the guy is so nitty and he's probably going to cbet a lot as well because his nitty range hits this board. So my plan was the c/r.

      Turn: Well since he didn't bet I'm betting but I was surprised to see him call.

      River: Easy bet on the river. But when he raises it gets tricky. But tbh I think he's got some Jx hand that he checked the flop with and raise the river. It makes perfect sense. If he had KK or KJ he's betting the flop all day long. Then when I say this I still don't have the balls to raise him :(

      Party, $0.05/$0.10 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      BTN: $3.27 (32.7 bb)
      CO: $9.89 (98.9 bb)
      Hero (BB): $12.95 (129.5 bb)
      SB: $9.89 (98.9 bb)
      MP: $13.47 (134.7 bb)
      UTG: $10.32 (103.2 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is BB with 9 9
      UTG folds, MP raises to $0.50, 2 folds, SB calls $0.45, Hero calls $0.40

      Flop: ($1.50) 9 K J (3 players)
      SB checks, Hero checks, MP checks

      Turn: ($1.50) 5 (3 players)
      SB checks, Hero bets $0.90, MP calls $0.90, SB folds

      River: ($3.30) J (2 players)
      Hero bets $1.70, MP raises to $5.49, Hero calls $3.79

      $14.28 pot ($0.71 rake)
      Final Board: 9 K J 5 J
      Hero showed 9 9 and won $13.57 ($6.68 net)
      MP showed 5 5 and lost (-$6.89 net)


  • 1 reply
    • BogdanPS
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Hi RasTweet,

      Preflop: looks fine

      Postflop: I don't mind trying to go for a ck/raise here to maximize value/protection versus both although I doubt that he will cbet that often into two ppl (one a fish) on this connected board. But anything he cbets connects and can pay a lot more.

      Considering that he checked back the flop and called turn why are we not shoving that river?

      What are we afraid off? KK, KJ, JJ? I doubt he EVER has those hands.

      So he can have 55, AJ/QJ and maybe even a hand like QTss.