[NL20-NL50] NL50sh - Defend 88 vs 3B IP

    • Farmarchist
      Farmarchist
      Bronze
      Joined: 27.12.2010 Posts: 14,640
      Hey,

      Villain looks nitty (vpip/pfr) but 3bets 7%
      3/25 resteal from SB (this is 4th time)
      Resteal vs hero 2/12 (3th time now)
      0/2 Foldto4b

      I think his range could be pretty wide.

      Decided to call twice because:
      80% FlopCB and 75% turnCB
      Most people give up OTR

      Poker Stars $50.00 No Limit Hold'em - 5 players - View hand 2047287
      DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

      CO: $23.90 - VPIP: 18, PFR: 17, 3B: 16, AF: 12.0, Hands: 374
      Hero (BTN): $50.00 - VPIP: 17, PFR: 15, 3B: 6, AF: 3.7, Hands: 562285
      SB: $50.00 - VPIP: 17, PFR: 13, 3B: 7, AF: 2.1, Hands: 468
      BB: $50.75 - VPIP: 11, PFR: 9, 3B: 0, AF: 2.0, Hands: 46
      UTG: $43.23 - VPIP: 37, PFR: 7, 3B: 0, AF: 1.0, Hands: 27

      Pre Flop: ($0.75) Hero is BTN with 8 :club: 8 :diamond:
      2 folds, Hero raises to $1, SB raises to $3.50, 1 fold, Hero calls $2.50

      Flop: ($7.50) T :heart: T :club: 2 :club: (2 players)
      SB bets $4.00, Hero calls $4

      Turn: ($15.50) 6 :spade: (2 players)
      SB bets $9.00, Hero calls $9

      River: ($33.50) 9 :club: (2 players)
      SB bets $33.50, Hero folds
  • 6 replies
    • serverm07
      serverm07
      Basic
      Joined: 08.08.2012 Posts: 1,130
      Yea looks fine, turn is close though.
    • Farmarchist
      Farmarchist
      Bronze
      Joined: 27.12.2010 Posts: 14,640
      Originally posted by serverm07
      Yea looks fine, turn is close though.
      Defend 77+? 88+?

      I did send u another PM :D
    • mbml
      mbml
      Black
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,698
      Hi.

      I probablt call turn and call some blank rivers i think this guy could three barrel bluff a lot. And his real 3b% in these positions should be around 10% or more.
    • serverm07
      serverm07
      Basic
      Joined: 08.08.2012 Posts: 1,130
      Thoughts on 4bet vs call mbml. what kind of a 3bet % plus fold to 4bet % would you be looking at to decide.
    • mbml
      mbml
      Black
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,698
      basically to make 4bet/call with 88 good, we need him to
      1. 3b and fold a ton
      2. 5b shove some worse hands

      if he does shove 22 33 44 55 etc some % of the time that´s really great for us. same goes for A5s type of hands which we are a 70% favourite against.

      i think that would probably be at least a 15% 3bet range in these positions, and he should have a low fold to 4b of less than 50% (meaning he 5bet shoves 8% range or more). you should try to play around with pokerstove and figure out the optimal ranges.

      for example, assuming someone doesnt call 4bets at all, and folds 45%, and 3bets an 18% range, then he probably jams 55% X 18% = 9.9% of hands.

      this 10% range would include most pocketpairs and some AJ KQ AXs type of hands.
    • serverm07
      serverm07
      Basic
      Joined: 08.08.2012 Posts: 1,130
      ok cool thanks