[NL2-NL10] aa2 30

    • Dracsharp
      Dracsharp
      Bronze
      Joined: 22.01.2010 Posts: 2,478
      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.05(BB) Replayer
      SB ($9)
      BB ($3.64)
      UTG ($5)
      UTG+1 ($2.51)
      CO ($5)
      Hero ($5.07)

      Dealt to Hero A:spade: A:heart:

      fold, fold, fold, Hero raises to $0.17, fold, BB calls $0.12

      FLOP ($0.36) 9:diamond: T:heart: Q:heart:

      BB checks, Hero bets $0.30, BB calls $0.30

      TURN ($0.96) 9:diamond: T:heart: Q:heart: 5:diamond:

      BB checks, Hero bets $0.74, BB calls $0.74

      RIVER ($2.44) 9:diamond: T:heart: Q:heart: 5:diamond: Q:diamond:

      BB bets $2.43 (AI), Hero calls $2.43

      BB shows K:diamond: 2:diamond:
      (Pre 16%, Flop 20.0%, Turn 27.3%)

      Hero shows A:spade: A:heart:
      (Pre 84%, Flop 80.0%, Turn 72.7%)

      BB wins $6.82

  • 3 replies
    • BogdanPS
      BogdanPS
      Basic
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Hi Dracsharp,

      Preflop: looks fine

      Postflop: Huge fish so we can just pot flop/turn

      On the river what range do you put him on? We need to be good 1/3 of the time but Qx is a big part of his range (although backdoor flush not so much).

      Have we seen him bluff before?
    • Dracsharp
      Dracsharp
      Bronze
      Joined: 22.01.2010 Posts: 2,478
      His aggression by street tells the story with his vpip he must be bluffing most of the time even if i have ah and q made trips i should be okay, jx fd could do this.
    • BogdanPS
      BogdanPS
      Basic
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Originally posted by Dracsharp
      His aggression by street tells the story with his vpip he must be bluffing most of the time even if i have ah and q made trips i should be okay, jx fd could do this.
      Are you implying that his aggression is so high on the river that he can bet any bluff?

      One thing we know for sure: he will stick the money in with a better hand. The question is how many worse hands can he do the same with, and which?

      Since Qx makes a huge part of his range and there are tons of Qx combos that he can have he needs to have quite a few bluffs for us to show any sort of profit.