[NL20-NL50] AQ 3 barrels

    • mlatasrb
      mlatasrb
      Gold
      Joined: 01.04.2012 Posts: 2,720
      PartyGaming - $0.25 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
      Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

      BTN: 105.16 BB
      SB: 182.8 BB
      Hero (BB): 101 BB
      UTG: 28 BB
      MP: 86.68 BB
      CO: 484.56 BB

      SB posts SB 0.4 BB, Hero posts BB 1 BB

      Pre Flop: (pot: 1.4 BB) Hero has K:club: K:heart:

      fold, fold, CO raises to 3 BB, BTN calls 3 BB, fold, Hero raises to 12 BB, fold, BTN calls 9 BB

      Flop: (27.4 BB, 2 players) K:spade: J:heart: 8:club:
      Hero bets 13 BB, BTN calls 13 BB

      Turn: (53.4 BB, 2 players) Q:diamond:
      Hero checks, BTN bets 25 BB, Hero calls 25 BB

      River: (103.4 BB, 2 players) 9:spade:
      Hero checks, BTN bets 27 BB, Hero calls 27 BB

      BTN shows T:club: J:club: (Straight, King High) (Pre 19%, Flop 8%, Turn 18%)
      Hero mucks K:club: K:heart: (Three of a Kind, Kings) (Pre 81%, Flop 92%, Turn 82%)
      BTN wins 149.56 BB


      44 hands VPiP 28, 14 PFR.

      I think on flop he cant have value hand with calling, so maybe I should be afraid of QT, but how often he calls sqeeze with QT.
      So I think he mostly floats with PP, and plans to steal the pot on turn, thats why I check. I think if I push turn, he never calls. Maybe he also has set, but then I dont need to worry, we end up all in anyway.

      But this time turn and river couldnt be worse.
      fold river? I think he always has it when he bets so small, because if bluffing he would push to scare me.
  • 1 reply
    • BogdanPS
      BogdanPS
      Basic
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Hey mlatasrb,

      Preflop: looks fine

      Postflop: I think we can ck/fold the river versus a passive guy. I doubt he valuebets worse there and I dont think he bluffs that small.

      However, I disagree with your turn ck/call. I doubt villain will bluff river if he bluffed turn and gets called and we can ck/raise for value versus 2p/TP/pair + draw. Sets get the money in anyway.