[NL2-NL10] qq 31

    • Dracsharp
      Dracsharp
      Bronze
      Joined: 22.01.2010 Posts: 2,478
      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.05(BB) Replayer
      SB ($5)
      BB ($2.93)
      Hero ($7.58)
      BTN ($4.44)

      Dealt to Hero Q:club: Q:spade:

      Hero raises to $0.17, fold, fold, BB calls $0.12

      FLOP ($0.36) J:spade: 8:club: A:spade:

      BB checks, Hero bets $0.25, BB calls $0.25

      TURN ($0.86) J:spade: 8:club: A:spade: 6:heart:

      BB checks, Hero checks

      RIVER ($0.86) J:spade: 8:club: A:spade: 6:heart: 2:diamond:

      BB bets $0.56, Hero calls $0.56

      BB shows A:diamond: 7:diamond:
      (Pre 32%, Flop 83.6%, Turn 95.5%)

      Hero shows Q:club: Q:spade:
      (Pre 68%, Flop 16.4%, Turn 4.5%)

      BB wins $1.85



      Giving him this flop call range TT-99,AQs-A2s,KJs,QJs,J9s+,T8s+,86s+,KsTs,Ks9s,9s8s,9s7s,7s6s,7s5s,6s5s,6s4s,5s4s,AQo-A8o,KJo,QJo,JTo, i don't have a vbet at the turn but what remains is do i have a bluffcatch at the river, and that depends whether he bluffs missed draws or bets jacks, if either one is true i can call.
  • 3 replies
    • BogdanPS
      BogdanPS
      Basic
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Hi DracSharp,

      Preflop: looks fine

      Postflop: It really depends what villain calls with here. He has quite a few Ax in his range but there are also many draws and Jx hands so I actually don't mind a second barrel of 1/2 pot versus a ck and call. I think that 1/2 can be called by all of his flop range.

      IF he doesn't raise 2p on the flop the range you gave him has you beat 50% of the time so even then you have a thin valuebet. If he raises some 2p like A8/AJ then we have an easy vbet on the turn.
    • Dracsharp
      Dracsharp
      Bronze
      Joined: 22.01.2010 Posts: 2,478
      TT-99,AQs,ATs-A9s,A7s-A2s,KJs,QJs,J9s+,T8s+,86s+,KsTs,Ks9s,9s8s,9s7s,7s6s,7s5s,6s5s,6s4s,5s4s,AQo,ATo-A9o,KJo,QJo,JTo

      Not that easy 51.5 vs 48.5, and that is assuming he calls all of them and he prefers scs over nonsuited aces and never slowplays 2p+ or better.

      Easy vbet ? How ? Thinnest vbet of all time.
    • BogdanPS
      BogdanPS
      Basic
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Originally posted by Dracsharp
      TT-99,AQs,ATs-A9s,A7s-A2s,KJs,QJs,J9s+,T8s+,86s+,KsTs,Ks9s,9s8s,9s7s,7s6s,7s5s,6s5s,6s4s,5s4s,AQo,ATo-A9o,KJo,QJo,JTo

      Not that easy 51.5 vs 48.5, and that is assuming he calls all of them and he prefers scs over nonsuited aces and never slowplays 2p+ or better.

      Easy vbet ? How ? Thinnest vbet of all time.
      What bet size were you thinking about?

      If you pot this turn then it's clearly not a great valuebet (thin or not). 1/2 pot should do the trick.

      You are looking at our equity in the hand. I am looking at the distribution of his range. In other words what's better in his range versus what's worse.

      In the above range he has 43% hands that are ahead of us (TP+) and 57% worse hands.

      Assuming he calls 50% pot bet with all 57% we can vbet against them. Of course he has some equity with them but we also have some, little, equity versus his better hands.

      Against aggro fish that bluff a lot when missed I agree with a check back and calling river because it's very likely that they would bluff often.