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[NL20-NL50] AKs nl50

    • yro77
      Joined: 15.02.2011 Posts: 2,021
      PartyGaming - $0.50 NL - Holdem - 8 players
      Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

      SB: $55.28
      BB: $27.33
      UTG: $76.78
      UTG+1: $87.14
      MP: $14.50
      Hero (MP+1): $87.50
      CO: $73.66
      BTN: $38.41

      SB posts SB $0.25, BB posts BB $0.50

      Pre Flop: (pot: $0.75) Hero has K:diamond: A:diamond:

      UTG raises to $1.50, fold, fold, Hero raises to $4.50, fold, fold, fold, fold, UTG calls $3.00

      Flop: ($9.75, 2 players) 4:diamond: 7:heart: 9:diamond:
      UTG checks, Hero bets $6.95, UTG calls $6.95

      Turn: ($23.65, 2 players) T:club:
      UTG checks, Hero bets $12.50, UTG calls $12.50

      River: ($48.65, 2 players) 8:spade:
      UTG checks, Hero bets $24.00, fold

      Hero wins $46.22

      2k hands 23/18 ft3bet 47% EP pfr 16.45% wts 27 wssd 47

      I just decided to bluff F and T with lots of outs, I am not sure I should barell river also. Looking on his range, I suppose the only hand we can convince to fold is QQ, and less likely AA/KK if he traps it out of position.

      I suppose we have no FEq on the turn, so we should barell river also if we bet turn, but this one is terrible. JJ hit straight, and 88 hit set.
  • 1 reply
    • EmanuelC16
      Joined: 02.01.2010 Posts: 13,909

      What's his EP UO PFR%? The PFR includes 3betting and in FR there are more EP, not like in SH.

      When you barrel you have a problem with your outs. Only diamonds are clean and any J, T, Q can be bad. A and K are probably good but not awesome unless you know your opponents raise sets and 2 pairs here.

      What are you trying to make him fold and also think what is your value range? You basically represent no value hand imo. Do you 3bet often against UTG with QJ, JJ, J8 type hands? Does he perceive you to do so?

      What does he defend OOP vs a 3bet here? What does he 4bet pre? You can get called by Tx or you can make 89 fold depending on how your opponent perceives you. I have no idea of that so I cannot give you clear answer.

      All I can say is that being deep he will defend weaker probably and your river sizing could be smaller if you think looking like having QQ+ would entice him to fold. With half pot bet you usually look like what you have and I cannot find any hand your opponent can check/fold here. Everything has 2pair or better imo so why would he fold that here?