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[NL20-NL50] [sh] nl 50 not really valuebets vs fish?

    • DeMarcohsp
      Joined: 15.06.2010 Posts: 1,975
      Party, $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      UTG: $93.74 (187.5 bb)
      Hero (SB): $50 (100 bb)
      CO: $38.77 (77.5 bb)
      BB: $50 (100 bb)
      MP: $50.12 (100.2 bb)
      BTN: $32.19 (64.4 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is SB with A 4
      UTG folds, MP calls $0.50, 2 folds, Hero raises to $3, BB folds, MP calls $2.50

      Flop: ($6.50) A 7 K (2 players)
      Hero bets $4.50, MP calls $4.50

      Turn: ($15.50) J (2 players)
      Hero bets $7.50, MP calls $7.50

      River: ($30.50) 2 (2 players)
      Hero bets $13, MP calls $13

      $56.50 pot ($2.82 rake)
      Final Board: A 7 K J 2
      Hero showed A 4 and won $26.84 (-$1.16 net)
      MP showed 6 A and won $26.84 (-$1.16 net)

      Played with this in flopzilla and I realised that I am good pretty rarely and we split a decent amount and otherwise he has me beat (I can't think he raises many monsters early as he was a passive whale)

      Even on the turn my value bet can be too thin as again I am only beating 10% of his continuing range

      What do you think ? :f_confused:
  • 1 reply
    • EmanuelC16
      Joined: 02.01.2010 Posts: 13,909
      I would usually go for 2 streets with this hand because indeed we don't beat enough of his weak hands. Our TP is just about as good as KQ when it comes to hands we beat. :)

      I think that makes it more obvious why we cannot get 3 streets of value here.