[NL20-NL50] AK fold

    • daisuke3823
      daisuke3823
      Bronze
      Joined: 05.02.2008 Posts: 8,321
      Hand converted with online PokerStrategy.com hand converter:

      ハンドをプレーする

      $0.1/$0.25 No-Limit Hold'em (6 handed)

      Known players:
      BU:
      $24.65
      SB:
      $25.00
      BB (Hero):
      $27.06
      MP2:
      $45.39
      MP3:
      $50.72
      CO:
      $11.48


      Preflop: Hero is BB with A, K.
      3 folds, BU raises to $0.75, SB folds, Hero raises to $2.40, BU calls $1.65.

      Flop: ($4.9) A, Q, 2 (2 players)
      Hero bets $2.60, BU calls $2.60.

      Turn: ($10.1) Q (2 players)
      Hero checks, BU bets $6.50, Hero calls $6.50.

      River: ($23.1) 5 (2 players)
      Hero checks, BU bets $13.15, Hero folds, BU gets uncalled bet back.

      Final Pot: $23.1.

      his stats in 14 hands
       vpip31 pfr31 af2

      turn was pot control.
      and I folded on the river since Q is likely,also flush
      he was not short stack,so my fold was okey?
  • 3 replies
    • mbml
      mbml
      Black
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,694
      Hi.

      This is a simple poker stove spot so do some calculstions and compare with your pot odds.

      Also i dont see why u should be afraid of the flush. Nothing he did indicates that he is likely to have the spade flush.

      River is dependent on whether he
      1) value bets at and aj
      2) how often he has kj kt jt preflop and bluffs turn and river
      3) how many qx hands he has preflop (kq qj qt)
    • daisuke3823
      daisuke3823
      Bronze
      Joined: 05.02.2008 Posts: 8,321
      Originally posted by mbml
      Hi.

      This is a simple poker stove spot so do some calculstions and compare with your pot odds.

      Also i dont see why u should be afraid of the flush. Nothing he did indicates that he is likely to have the spade flush.

      River is dependent on whether he
      1) value bets at and aj
      2) how often he has kj kt jt preflop and bluffs turn and river
      3) how many qx hands he has preflop (kq qj qt)

      turn BEP 28%
      river BEP 27%


      if I put his range on his range KQ,QJ、QT、KJ、KT、JT、AT、AJ
      turn equity 33%
      river equity 42%

      so my fold was misplay against almost unknown?
    • mbml
      mbml
      Black
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,694
      I think ak is way too strong to fold. Your calculations are not necrssarily right (do peiple defend all combos of JTo? I think not but thats what u assumed)

      Pot odds are great anyway so i cant fold ak. Maybe aj at are closer.