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[NL2-NL10] AKs vs 3bet NL10

    • suni98
      Joined: 09.08.2009 Posts: 126
      Was this bluff ok given his betting line?

      My reasoning is that if he 3b AJ pf which is unlikely he will not bet his trips on flp because a fish would check call or check minraise the turn, or starts betting just on turn according to my experience (but from sngs), so given this and his small protection bets probably got pocket 99 or TT.
      Is a villain like this capable of folding pocket 3rd pair on boards like this often enough to be this profitable?

      PokerStars - $0.10 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
      Hand converted by PokerTracker 3

      CO: $10.00
      Hero (BTN): $11.16
      SB: $10.48
      BB: $8.34 40/13 3b=0 over 65 hands
      UTG: $10.49
      MP: $4.46

      SB posts SB $0.05, BB posts BB $0.10

      Pre Flop: ($0.15) Hero has A:spade: K:spade:

      fold, MP calls $0.10, fold, Hero raises to $0.50, fold, BB raises to $1.20, fold, Hero calls $0.70

      Flop: ($2.55, 2 players) J:diamond: 3:club: J:spade:
      BB bets $1.30, Hero calls $1.30

      Turn: ($5.15, 2 players) Q:heart:
      BB bets $1.00, Hero calls $1.00

      River: ($7.15, 2 players) 8:club:
      BB bets $1.20, Hero raises to $7.66 and is all-in, fold

      Hero wins $9.12
  • 1 reply
    • BogdanPS
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Hi Suni,

      Personally I am not a fan of the line we took.

      Fishy guys play AA/KK like this often too because they are scared of the double J. However most of them cannot fold to a raise. I think that in this particular case we got him to fold a split (at best).

      It's possible that he may have 99-TT but a lot of passive fish don't 3-bet those hands preflop.