[NL20-NL50] NL25 SH Set vs fish

    • mihninho
      Joined: 16.04.2009 Posts: 648
      PartyGaming - $0.25 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
      Hand converted by PokerTracker 3

      CO: $30.38
      BTN: $40.61
      SB: $25.34
      BB: $68.89
      Hero (UTG): $25.00
      MP: $25.00

      SB posts SB $0.10, BB posts BB $0.25

      Pre Flop: ($0.35) Hero has 6:heart: A:heart:

      Hero raises to $0.75, fold, fold, fold, fold, BB calls $0.50

      Flop: ($1.60, 2 players) 6:diamond: 6:club: 8:club:
      BB checks, Hero bets $1.14, BB calls $1.14

      Turn: ($3.88, 2 players) 3:diamond:
      BB checks, Hero bets $2.76, BB calls $2.76

      River: ($9.40, 2 players) 2:spade:
      BB checks, Hero bets $6.69, BB raises to $13.38, Hero raises to $20.35 and is all-in, BB calls $6.97

      The same player from the hand with QTs.This hand happened at the same table few minutes after that hand.I must have been on tilt because he made the same move but now on the river.Why do you raise on the river at this stakes, you raise for value.But he could also have any overpairs JJ QQ KK AA.

      Board: 8 :heart: 6 :spade: 6 :club: 3 :diamond: 2 :heart:
      Equity Win Tie
      CO 48.84% 48.84% 0.00% { A :heart: 6 :heart: }
      BU 51.16% 51.16% 0.00% { JJ+, 88, 33, 54s, 54o }

      BB shows 3:spade: 3:club: (Full House, Threes full of Sixes) (Pre 52%, Flop 11%, Turn 84%)Hero mucks 6:heart: A:heart: (Three of a Kind, Sixes) (Pre 48%, Flop 89%, Turn 16%)BB wins $47.60
  • 2 replies
    • mbml
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,694

      Firsrly tthe rivrr ranfe u gave him isway too optimistic. This is a nutted line and is almpst always trips or boats.

      U have no value three betting imo. I think river raises are likelier to be boats than trips. It also depends ojhow wide he defends bb vs utg preflop but if he is tighter he will have fewer 67s type of hands.

      He never plays aa and kk like that imo he would have raised flop

      Hmm i just read he was vpip 72 so three betting river is an option. Badicslly if he has all combos of hands like 76o then u beat more combos of trips than u lose to (boats)
    • mihninho
      Joined: 16.04.2009 Posts: 648
      So you say it's a bet/call river.