[NL20-NL50] NL25 6max, TT, 3 barrel set vs R raise

    • Anger86
      Anger86
      Bronze
      Joined: 17.08.2008 Posts: 511
      $25.00 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players - View hand 2050607
      DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

      SB: $36.52 - VPIP: 22, PFR: 16, 3B: 5, AF: 0.8, Hands: 64
      BB: $43.73 - VPIP: 19, PFR: 14, 3B: 5, AF: 2.2, Hands: 505
      Hero (UTG): $38.84 - VPIP: 23, PFR: 19, 3B: 10, AF: 4.4, Hands: 70635
      MP: $30.99 - VPIP: 17, PFR: 11, 3B: 12, AF: 0.7, Hands: 70
      CO: $25.00 - VPIP: 21, PFR: 13, 3B: 6, AF: 1.6, Hands: 213
      BTN: $25.00 - VPIP: 18, PFR: 14, 3B: 2, AF: 4.3, Hands: 269

      Pre Flop: ($0.35) Hero is UTG with T :spade: T :club:
      Hero raises to $0.75, MP calls $0.75, 4 folds

      Flop: ($1.85) J :diamond: T :diamond: 7 :heart: (2 players)
      Hero bets $1.50, MP calls $1.50

      Turn: ($4.85) 5 :club: (2 players)
      Hero bets $4.50, MP calls $4.50

      River: ($13.85) A :heart: (2 players)
      Hero bets $10.00, MP raises to $24.24, Hero calls $14.24

      I don't think Villain has JJ, 77 on the river as played.
      To me it looks a lot like AJ or KQ.
      Also then I can't really assume that he could call 2 barrels with a draw that often.
      I assume his AJ there will be more often that KQ.
      Busted draws doesnt make sense, like AdQd. He would probably call that not raise or even raise on the flop.
      Also AA don't slowplay that sick way. 98s also could raise before.

      So, I bet River to get value from AJ, AT.
      Maybe I could x/c, but opponent seems very passive.
  • 1 reply
    • EmanuelC16
      EmanuelC16
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.01.2010 Posts: 13,897
      You are barreling from UTG so he has more implied odds. Plus, you don't have specific info.. at NL25 people call twice with draws quite often plus they don't raise river for thin value with AJ too often.

      I think betting is +EV and probably your better line, check/call is also good but I prefer it if he were fishy or you know he double floats diamonds a lot in such a spot.

      When you get raised, I think he'll have KQ a very very high frequency but since you don't block AJ and he could potential minraise that for value it's probably OK to call but very close. I don't expect you too win very often when you call, I think you win barely enough and wouldn't mind folding if the opponent seems a bit tigher/passive over more hands.