[NL2-NL10] Nl10 - Set of Queens

    • Philfox1985
      Philfox1985
      Bronze
      Joined: 18.12.2010 Posts: 934
      Turn felt a fairly horrible card to see, despite it making my set.

      I considered Chk / Calling and hoping to hit a FH on the river, but figured it should be a fairly thin value bet instead.

      Issue for me is that if I get raised on the turn my implied odds are not as good and I may have to fold.

      Seat 1: Player1 ( $19.18 USD ) - VPIP: 25, PFR: 8, 3B: 0, AF: 0.5, Hands: 24
      Seat 4: Hero ( $12.66 USD ) - VPIP: 32, PFR: 26, 3B: 7, AF: 2.7, Hands: 24156

      Poker Stars, $0.05/$0.10 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      BTN: $19.18 (191.8 bb)
      SB: $6.77 (67.7 bb)
      BB: $4.97 (49.7 bb)
      Hero (UTG): $12.66 (126.6 bb)
      MP: $28.13 (281.3 bb)
      CO: $25.32 (253.2 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is UTG with Q Q
      Hero raises to $0.30, MP folds, CO calls $0.30, BTN calls $0.30, SB folds, BB calls $0.20

      Flop: ($1.25) 3 9 6 (4 players)
      BB checks, Hero bets $0.80, CO folds, BTN calls $0.80, BB folds

      Turn: ($2.85) Q (2 players)
      Hero bets $1.60, BTN folds

      Results:
      $2.85 pot ($0.13 rake)
      Final Board: 3 9 6 Q
      BTN mucked and lost (-$1.10 net)
      Hero mucked Q Q and won $2.72 ($1.62 net)
  • 3 replies
    • BogdanPS
      BogdanPS
      Basic
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Hi Phil,

      What are we getting thin value against? Perhaps some pairs with a diamond and A9 with Ac?

      If he would be a looser opponent (even though sample is small) I'd say that we have an easier valuebet. Versus someone like him we can check here.
    • Philfox1985
      Philfox1985
      Bronze
      Joined: 18.12.2010 Posts: 934
      In my view IF he calls I'm probably ahead. I can only see the nut flush trapping with a call, or maybe low flushes if the opponent is very passive - Thats why I described it as thin value.

      The problem is that he will raise most of the hands I'm behind to and that will be very bad for me as it will probably leave too little behind to call with implied odds.

      On balance I agree that a chk / call would have been the better play.

      (I advised you to have another look, but mainly just to see this response, I agree with your analysis)
    • BogdanPS
      BogdanPS
      Basic
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      For me thin value means that I can still get value to some part of his range even though a good chunk of it is ahead.

      So the question I had above is what hands can he call that are behind us and can he have enough of those (for example would his range be made up of at least half hands that are behind us)?

      I really don't want us to worry about balance here at 10nl. Balancing implies that your opponent(s) are good enough to pick on your imbalances and exploit you which is almost never the case.