[NL20-NL50] triple barrel?

    • daisuke3823
      Joined: 05.02.2008 Posts: 8,321
      Hand converted with online PokerStrategy.com hand converter:


      $0.1/$0.25 No-Limit Hold'em (6 handed)
      Known players:
      MP3 (Hero):

      Preflop: Hero is MP3 with 8, 8.
      MP2 folds, Hero raises to $0.75, CO calls $0.75, 3 folds, 2 folds, BB folds.

      Flop: ($1.85) 7, T, 5 (2 players)
      Hero bets $1.00, CO calls $1.00.

      Turn: ($3.85) 6 (2 players)
      Hero bets $2.40, CO calls $2.40.

      River: ($8.65) A (2 players)
      Hero checks, CO checks.

      Final Pot: $8.65.

      his stats in 109 hands vpip33 pfr 30 af2,8 wtsd19 fold to flop CB 50 fold to turn CB 0    

      should I triple barrel though his WTSD is low?
  • 2 replies
    • imfromsweden007
      Joined: 11.10.2008 Posts: 726

      Yeah I would probably follow through on the river. It seems like he has a lot of tens in his range, and not that many straights/2pairs/sets (although certainly some!). I expect him to fold at least 50% though, so a bet of 6$ should be your best alternative.

    • EmanuelC16
      Joined: 02.01.2010 Posts: 13,897
      If you bet the turn I think you almost always have to bet the river but the thing is, I'm not sure betting the turn is best with your hand. What are you trying to make him fold? You have second pair and OESD while blocking the nuts. His range is often a hand like 78, T9, 99, 86, 64 and other Tx that call flop so when you bet turn he almost never folds on that card, meaning that if you aren't planning on bluffing most rivers it doesn't make much sense to bet the turn.

      The A on the river that completes the flush is probably the best bluff card since now Tx is weaker (I would value bet an A here btw) and you can also have flushes, sets, straight that barreled.