[NL20-NL50] NL50 SH - AKo: 3bet pot vs donkey

    • Lunitis
      Lunitis
      Gold
      Joined: 22.02.2009 Posts: 20,132
      33/10
      2.8af
      11% fold vs 3bet
      44% fold vs cbet overall
      45% wwsf
      32% wtsd
      716 hands


      BB: $48.97 (97.9 bb)
      UTG: $50.75 (101.5 bb)
      MP: $50 (100 bb)
      CO: $119.20 (238.4 bb)
      Hero (BTN): $62.31 (124.6 bb)
      SB: $50 (100 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is BTN with A:spade: K:diamond:
      UTG folds, MP raises to $3.50, CO folds, Hero raises to $10, 2 folds, MP calls $6.50

      Flop: ($20.75) J:diamond: 7:diamond: Q:diamond: (2 players)
      MP checks, Hero?
  • 7 replies
    • BogdanPS
      BogdanPS
      Basic
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Hi Lunitis,

      I'd cbet here $11 or so. He does seem to fold a bit overall and a $11 bet only has to work about 33% of the time without counting our equity in the hand.
    • Lunitis
      Lunitis
      Gold
      Joined: 22.02.2009 Posts: 20,132
      And if he shoves over the top?
    • BogdanPS
      BogdanPS
      Basic
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Originally posted by Lunitis
      And if he shoves over the top?
      What would you expect him to shove?

      A shove would give us roughly 30% pot odds.
    • Lunitis
      Lunitis
      Gold
      Joined: 22.02.2009 Posts: 20,132
      Sets, two pairs, TPTK, pair + nut flush draw, AT with flush draw, AK with nut flush draw..
    • BogdanPS
      BogdanPS
      Basic
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Originally posted by Lunitis
      Sets, two pairs, TPTK, pair + nut flush draw, AT with flush draw, AK with nut flush draw..
      So it would be a matter of equity vs pot odds. Without using equilab do you think you'd have enough?

      And if you have time verify your answer with equilab. In this case it might be pretty easy to not even bother with equilab but it would be a good exercise.
    • Lunitis
      Lunitis
      Gold
      Joined: 22.02.2009 Posts: 20,132

      Board: Q:diamond: J:diamond: 7:diamond:
             Equity  Vencer  Empate
      MP2    38.07%  33.19%   4.88% { AsKd }
      MP3    61.93%  57.04%   4.88% { QQ-JJ, 77, AdKh, AdKs, AdKc, AhKd, AsKd, AcKd, AdQh, AdQs, AdQc, AhQd, AsQd, AcQd, AdJh, AdJs, AdJc, AhJd, AsJd, AcJd, AdTh, AdTs, AdTc, AhTd, AsTd, AcTd }


      If i take off AxT :diamond: i have 33%. I was expecting to have less equity against this range.
    • BogdanPS
      BogdanPS
      Basic
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Originally posted by Lunitis

      Board: Q:diamond: J:diamond: 7:diamond:
             Equity  Vencer  Empate
      MP2    38.07%  33.19%   4.88% { AsKd }
      MP3    61.93%  57.04%   4.88% { QQ-JJ, 77, AdKh, AdKs, AdKc, AhKd, AsKd, AcKd, AdQh, AdQs, AdQc, AhQd, AsQd, AcQd, AdJh, AdJs, AdJc, AhJd, AsJd, AcJd, AdTh, AdTs, AdTc, AhTd, AsTd, AcTd }


      If i take off AxT :diamond: i have 33%. I was expecting to have less equity against this range.
      Well you do have 2 streets to take into account.

      Against a lot of his range you have a FD so that's usually decent equity over two streets. You also have a gutshot so that adds a bit there as well.