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[NL2-NL10] NL 10 QTs

    • 0744379
      0744379
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.06.2011 Posts: 435
      Seat 1 is the button
      Seat 6: Hero ( $11.82 USD ) - VPIP: 21, PFR: 17, 3B: 6, AF: 2.4, Hands: 40711
      Seat 5: Player5 ( $11.99 USD ) - VPIP: 71, PFR: 0, 3B: 0, AF: 0.5, Hands: 35
      Seat 2: Player2 ( $28.37 USD ) - VPIP: 21, PFR: 13, 3B: 7, AF: 0.0, Hands: 63
      Seat 3: Player3 ( $10.00 USD ) - VPIP: 32, PFR: 25, 3B: 3, AF: 19.0, Hands: 122
      Seat 4: Player4 ( $10.15 USD ) - VPIP: 21, PFR: 20, 3B: 3, AF: 5.7, Hands: 219
      Seat 1: Player1 ( $13.08 USD ) - VPIP: 32, PFR: 18, 3B: 0, AF: 2.0, Hands: 60

      Party, $0.05/$0.10 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      Hero (CO): $11.82 (118.2 bb)
      MP: $11.99 (119.9 bb)
      SB: $28.37 (283.7 bb)
      BB: $10 (100 bb)
      UTG: $10.15 (101.5 bb)
      BTN: $13.08 (130.8 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is CO with Q T
      UTG folds, MP calls $0.10, Hero raises to $0.40, BTN calls $0.40, 2 folds, MP calls $0.30

      Flop: ($1.35) 9 J 8 (3 players)
      MP checks, Hero bets $0.90, BTN folds, MP calls $0.90

      Turn: ($3.15) 9 (2 players)
      MP checks, Hero bets $2.10, MP calls $2.10

      River: ($7.35) T (2 players)
      MP checks, Hero checks

      Results:
      $7.35 pot ($0.36 rake)
      Final Board: 9 J 8 9 T
      Hero showed Q T and won $6.99 ($3.59 net)
      MP showed K T and lost (-$3.40 net)


      Should I value bet the river here?

      Preflop I think the ISO is fine. On flop I think I could have bet a bit bigger. On turn I think I'm getting value from 9x and maybe AJ.
      On river I'm not sure if I get value from 9x anymore and now KQ beats me, J9 and T9 also beat me though T9 is far less likely.
      What do you think?
  • 4 replies
    • BogdanPS
      BogdanPS
      Basic
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Hi Kevin,

      Preflop: looks fine

      Postflop: Board is really wet and with all of our value range we should be close to pot.

      I think that there still is value in a river bet even against Jx and JT type hands. KQ is very unlikely in his range unless it's KQcc. And with our stacks we can even bet/fold versus a big passive fish.
    • 0744379
      0744379
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.06.2011 Posts: 435
      What bet sizing would you go for if you were planning to bet/fold river?

      I agree about KQ, on the turn I never put him on KQ except for KQcc, but when the river comes it suddenly becomes one of the hands that beats me so I include it in his range which seems like a mistake to me.

      Regards,
      Kevin.
    • BogdanPS
      BogdanPS
      Basic
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Originally posted by 0744379
      What bet sizing would you go for if you were planning to bet/fold river?

      I agree about KQ, on the turn I never put him on KQ except for KQcc, but when the river comes it suddenly becomes one of the hands that beats me so I include it in his range which seems like a mistake to me.

      Regards,
      Kevin.
      A few combos is fine to add in his range but I wouldn't say it's a big part of his range, far from it.

      I'd say that I would bet about $4 which leaves about $5 behind. Now that I think about it we may not be able to fold as he may ck/ship Qx or busted draws.
    • 0744379
      0744379
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.06.2011 Posts: 435
      I don't think he ships many of his bluffs to be honest, from what I've seen of him I think he could ship 9x but other than that it's a strong made hands.

      Cheers,
      Kevin.