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[NL2-NL10] St8 + FD vs rivr shoove

    • Ferueda
      Joined: 15.01.2012 Posts: 213
      villain is a 14/12/7,7 in 59 hands

      Party, $0.02/$0.04 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      CO: $3.05 (76.3 bb)
      SB: $4.38 (109.5 bb)
      UTG: $4.49 (112.3 bb)
      BTN: $20.22 (505.5 bb)
      Hero (BB): $7.97 (199.3 bb)
      MP: $4.19 (104.8 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is BB with Q J
      2 folds, CO calls $0.04, BTN calls $0.04, SB folds, Hero raises to $0.16, CO calls $0.12, BTN calls $0.12

      Flop: ($0.50) T 8 A (3 players)
      Hero checks, CO checks, BTN bets $0.28, Hero calls $0.28, CO folds

      Turn: ($1.06) 9 (2 players)
      Hero checks, BTN bets $0.75, Hero calls $0.75

      River: ($2.56) 7 (2 players)
      Hero checks, BTN bets $19.03, Hero calls $6.78

      $16.12 pot ($0.80 rake)
      Final Board: T 8 A 9 7
      BTN showed 6 A and won $15.32 ($7.35 net)
      Hero showed Q J and lost (-$7.97 net)
  • 2 replies
    • kymupa
      Joined: 22.10.2009 Posts: 22,364

      Preflop I like raising but I'd make it $0.24.

      On the flop I think we can put in a cbet here, but if we are not planning to bet the turn as well I think check/calling is fine.

      I prefer raising the turn here.

      As played, I'd probably fold the river. Villain looks tightish and I don't expect him to end up with a worse hand here at all.

    • BogdanPS
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Hi Ferueda,

      Preflop: looks fine

      Postflop: What do you think villains range is for betting flop/turn and then shoving river?

      I'd say that even though we are 200 BB deep he could overplay some straights but what straights take that line on flop/turn? Only QJss and that's about it or a hand like AJ.

      Now, because he limped preflop his range is full of suited Ax/broadways and pairs. And since he donked the flop he could have an Ax of diamonds.

      So considering we need 44% equity so to show a small profit he needs to bet a worse hand half the time?

      If we count lets say A2/A3/A4/A5/A6/AT dd as max number of these better draws and maybe KTdd we get a total of 6-7 combos.

      Since we need half of them to be worse we need to find 6-7 combos of worse hands that do this. QJss is one combo, AdJ may add a combo or two but I struggle to find much else.