[NL2-NL10] Nl5 77

    • metza
      metza
      Bronze
      Joined: 28.01.2012 Posts: 2,220
      Full Tilt - $0.05 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
      Hand converted by PokerTracker 3

      BTN: $12.31
      SB: $3.94
      BB: $5.22
      UTG: $12.00
      Hero (MP): $8.17
      CO: $5.00

      SB posts SB $0.02, BB posts BB $0.05

      Pre Flop: ($0.07) Hero has 7:diamond: 7:spade:

      UTG calls $0.05, Hero raises to $0.20, fold, BTN calls $0.20, fold, fold, fold

      Flop: ($0.52, 2 players) K:heart: 6:club: 9:spade:
      Hero bets $0.35, BTN calls $0.35

      Turn: ($1.22, 2 players) J:heart:
      Hero checks, BTN bets $0.35, Hero calls $0.35

      River: ($1.92, 2 players) 2:diamond:
      Hero checks, BTN bets $0.60, Hero calls $0.60

      BTN shows Q:club: A:club: (High Card, Ace) (Pre 49%, Flop 31%, Turn 23%)
      Hero shows 7:diamond: 7:spade: (One Pair, Sevens) (Pre 51%, Flop 69%, Turn 77%)
      Hero wins $2.92

      Guy is playing something like 68/49/54 over 80 hands massive whale. 60% call preflop raise, and 14% fold flop. I check the turn on a form of tilt because I have constantly been running into the top of his range. As you can see, his hole card range vs me is just insane given how wide he is playing, in ten hands vs me the bottom of his range is somehow KJs/A7o (and both of these hit TP).
  • 3 replies
    • mbml
      mbml
      Black
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,694
      Hi

      Dont rly like t and r call. U just lose to way too much. The j improves some hands like jt qj qt and his weak bet may be indicative of him valuebettinf some jx or 9x

      I think here u got lucky and ran into the bottom of his range
    • metza
      metza
      Bronze
      Joined: 28.01.2012 Posts: 2,220
      Ok, this is one thing I find somewhat difficult, putting ranges on people who almost have none.

      The information we do have is that he is calling 60% of preflop raises, and only folding 14% of the time to Flop C bets. You are right that he has many Jx and 9x hands (almost never Kx though, he will reraise TP without fail), although stuff like J2o and especially 92o-96o when he is only playing 60% not 100%, are questionable as to if he has them in his range preflop. But due to the textures of the board there are many gutshots and fd he can have and if he is betting two overs when checked to, I'd put good money he's betting draws too.

      I definitely got lucky in catching the lower end of his range, but look at his t and r bet sizing. Do you really think against someone this loose and who is by no means passive, I will not hold the best hand on the river 1/4 of the time, which is all I need for this move to be +EV?
    • mbml
      mbml
      Black
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,694
      U might want to revise ur flop plan. Are u bwtting for value? Cos if u are bluffing he sure isnt folding. And i dun think u have a valuebwt w 77. I wouldnt mins cc 3 streets if he only uses suh small betsizes with suh wide ranges..