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[NL20-NL50] A8s nutsflashdraw against loose

    • Gonchan
      Joined: 14.06.2011 Posts: 2,877
      Party, $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      BTN: $43.20 (86.4 bb)
      MP: $143.22 (286.4 bb)
      SB: $50.25 (100.5 bb)
      UTG: $53.75 (107.5 bb)
      Hero (BB): $50 (100 bb)
      CO: $20.88 (41.8 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is BB with 8 A
      UTG folds, MP raises to $1.50, CO calls $1.50, 2 folds, Hero calls $1

      Flop: ($4.75) 9 K 7 (3 players)
      Hero checks, MP bets $4.52, CO folds, Hero raises to $12, MP calls $7.48

      Turn: ($28.75) 8 (2 players)
      Hero bets $18.21, MP calls $18.21

      River: ($65.17) 2 (2 players)
      Hero checks, MP checks

      $65.17 pot ($3 rake)
      Final Board: 9 K 7 8 2
      MP showed 7 K and won $62.17 ($30.46 net)
      Hero showed 8 A and lost (-$31.71 net)


      Potbet said he had something.
      Should I c/c flop and c/f turn if missed?
  • 1 reply
    • BogdanPS
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Hello Gonchan,

      Preflop: looks fine (are those stats over a big sample? If so we can't really 3-bet here without getting called a lot).

      Postflop: Him potting into two people looks very strong which implies that we have very little fold equity. The value of raising the NFD comes from the hand having a good amount of equity versus the hands that continue but also because of the FE the raise would generate.

      So in this case we have very little FE which means that all we base our line on is our hand equity. Because of that I prefer the call and then we can play the turn. If he pots it again and we can't expect implied odds we can simply fold the turn.