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[NL2-NL10] NL10 - Missed draw

    • Philfox1985
      Joined: 18.12.2010 Posts: 934
      No stats on the opponent.

      Ok to Chk / Call the turn with outs to the nut flush?

      I didn't really want to bet the turn myself as I felt like he may raise (if he had the flush), would have have been better to gain some fold equity against the rest of his range?

      Poker Stars, $0.05/$0.10 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      BTN: $14.37 (143.7 bb)
      Hero (SB): $14.63 (146.3 bb)
      BB: $20.15 (201.5 bb)
      UTG: $5 (50 bb)
      MP: $9.62 (96.2 bb)
      CO: $11 (110 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is SB with A 9
      3 folds, BTN raises to $0.25, Hero raises to $0.75, BB folds, BTN calls $0.50

      Flop: ($1.60) T 3 5 (2 players)
      Hero bets $0.80, BTN calls $0.80

      Turn: ($3.20) J (2 players)
      Hero checks, BTN bets $1.70, Hero calls $1.70

      River: ($6.60) 3 (2 players)
      Hero checks, BTN bets $3.50, Hero folds

      $6.60 pot ($0.30 rake)
      Final Board: T 3 5 J 3
      BTN mucked and won $6.30 ($3.05 net)
      Hero mucked A 9 and lost (-$3.25 net)
  • 1 reply
    • BogdanPS
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Hi Phil,

      Preflop: This deep I don't like to 3-bet A9o here because we will see the flop often (ie: he calls a lot). Plus we also see that we only 3-bet to 7.5 BB so he will call with a wide range.

      As you can imagine our hand doesn't play that great and we can't bluff that often (because our equity is not that great postflop).

      As played we get 25% pot odds or so while we only have 18% equity (best case scenario if all fd outs are clean but the Td may not be). Since the flush would be quite obvious (4d on the board) we may not have a ton of implied odds so folding is better.